The Illinois 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voter index and consistent results in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Delia Ramirez secured the Democratic primary unopposed in March 2026 and previously won the general election by wide margins, including 67 percent in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election against Republican Angel Oakley. This positioning aligns with historical base rates for incumbents in similarly partisan districts. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability factors based on current evidence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIL-03 House Election Winner
IL-03 House Election Winner
$51,190 Vol.
$51,190 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$51,190 Vol.
$51,190 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$26,986 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$24,204 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voter index and consistent results in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Delia Ramirez secured the Democratic primary unopposed in March 2026 and previously won the general election by wide margins, including 67 percent in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election against Republican Angel Oakley. This positioning aligns with historical base rates for incumbents in similarly partisan districts. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability factors based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$51,190Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voter index and consistent results in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Delia Ramirez secured the Democratic primary unopposed in March 2026 and previously won the general election by wide margins, including 67 percent in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election against Republican Angel Oakley. This positioning aligns with historical base rates for incumbents in similarly partisan districts. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability factors based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$51,190Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 3rd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voter index and consistent results in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Delia Ramirez secured the Democratic primary unopposed in March 2026 and previously won the general election by wide margins, including 67 percent in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election against Republican Angel Oakley. This positioning aligns with historical base rates for incumbents in similarly partisan districts. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability factors based on current evidence.
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