Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, including PJAK, PDKI, PAK, and Komala, formed the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan in February 2026 to pursue self-determination and regime change amid ongoing protests and regional tensions, yet their statements emphasize transitional administration and democratic governance within a post-regime Iran rather than formal secession. Iranian security forces maintain firm control over Kurdish-majority areas, while neighboring states prioritize Iran's territorial integrity to avoid spillover instability. Traders assign a 98% probability to "No" through June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any qualifying declaration of an independent state asserting authority over specified territory. A sudden regime collapse creating a sustained power vacuum or an explicit sovereignty claim by coalition members could still shift odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiKurds declare independence from Iran?
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
$144,713 Vol.
$144,713 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$144,713 Vol.
$144,713 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, including PJAK, PDKI, PAK, and Komala, formed the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan in February 2026 to pursue self-determination and regime change amid ongoing protests and regional tensions, yet their statements emphasize transitional administration and democratic governance within a post-regime Iran rather than formal secession. Iranian security forces maintain firm control over Kurdish-majority areas, while neighboring states prioritize Iran's territorial integrity to avoid spillover instability. Traders assign a 98% probability to "No" through June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any qualifying declaration of an independent state asserting authority over specified territory. A sudden regime collapse creating a sustained power vacuum or an explicit sovereignty claim by coalition members could still shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volume
$144,713Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, including PJAK, PDKI, PAK, and Komala, formed the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan in February 2026 to pursue self-determination and regime change amid ongoing protests and regional tensions, yet their statements emphasize transitional administration and democratic governance within a post-regime Iran rather than formal secession. Iranian security forces maintain firm control over Kurdish-majority areas, while neighboring states prioritize Iran's territorial integrity to avoid spillover instability. Traders assign a 98% probability to "No" through June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any qualifying declaration of an independent state asserting authority over specified territory. A sudden regime collapse creating a sustained power vacuum or an explicit sovereignty claim by coalition members could still shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if PJAK (Party for a Free Life in Kurdistan), the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI), Komala, the Kurdistan Freedom Party (PAK), or a successor Kurdish organization with broad recognition among Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, or a Kurdish official within Iran formally declares the creation of a new independent state separate from Iran and asserts governing authority over a specified territory within Iran before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying public announcement alone is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether governing authority is actually established, maintained, or recognized.
A declaration must include a clear public statement by the organization or its leadership announcing the establishment of an independent political entity separate from Iran and claiming governmental authority over an identified geographic area previously under Iranian governance.
The claimed territory does not need to be precisely defined but must be at least partially specified. A majority of the claimed territory must lie within the internationally recognized borders of Iran as they existed at the time of this market’s creation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$144,713Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 3, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian Kurdish opposition groups, including PJAK, PDKI, PAK, and Komala, formed the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan in February 2026 to pursue self-determination and regime change amid ongoing protests and regional tensions, yet their statements emphasize transitional administration and democratic governance within a post-regime Iran rather than formal secession. Iranian security forces maintain firm control over Kurdish-majority areas, while neighboring states prioritize Iran's territorial integrity to avoid spillover instability. Traders assign a 98% probability to "No" through June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any qualifying declaration of an independent state asserting authority over specified territory. A sudden regime collapse creating a sustained power vacuum or an explicit sovereignty claim by coalition members could still shift odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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