Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies highlight increased cloud cover and scattered showers over Beijing through August 27, moderating radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 19–21°C. Trader consensus, with the 17°C-or-below outcome at 38% implied probability ahead of clustered 20–21°C options, reflects model spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by 1–3°C depending on cloud persistence. Historical August baselines average around 20–22°C lows, making current steering patterns and humidity levels the key variables; updated runs from global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around these thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Beijing on August 27?
17°C or below 71%
18°C 47%
19°C 47%
23°C 47%
17°C or below
71%
18°C
47%
19°C
47%
20°C
31%
21°C
34%
22°C
22%
23°C
47%
24°C
2%
25°C
14%
26°C
11%
27°C or higher
8%
17°C or below 71%
18°C 47%
19°C 47%
23°C 47%
17°C or below
71%
18°C
47%
19°C
47%
20°C
31%
21°C
34%
22°C
22%
23°C
47%
24°C
2%
25°C
14%
26°C
11%
27°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies highlight increased cloud cover and scattered showers over Beijing through August 27, moderating radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 19–21°C. Trader consensus, with the 17°C-or-below outcome at 38% implied probability ahead of clustered 20–21°C options, reflects model spread in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress or enhance minimum temperatures by 1–3°C depending on cloud persistence. Historical August baselines average around 20–22°C lows, making current steering patterns and humidity levels the key variables; updated runs from global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around these thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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