Trader consensus clusters tightly around an 18–20°C overnight low for Beijing on September 4, reflecting model agreement on clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly or variable winds under high pressure, and modest radiative cooling. Dew points near 14–16°C and low humidity support efficient heat loss after sunset, while Beijing’s urban heat island and surrounding terrain limit further drops. Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models show minimal day-to-day shifts, with no incoming fronts or significant moisture expected to alter the boundary layer. The narrow spread between leading outcomes highlights uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized cooling rates rather than broader synoptic changes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Beijing on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 4?
14°C 95%
15°C 95%
16°C 95%
17°C 95%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
13°C or below
23%
14°C
95%
15°C
95%
16°C
95%
17°C
95%
18°C
50%
19°C
51%
20°C
95%
21°C
95%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
33%
14°C 95%
15°C 95%
16°C 95%
17°C 95%
BARU
BARU
Sep 4, 2026
13°C or below
$149 Vol.
23%
14°C
$0 Vol.
95%
15°C
$0 Vol.
95%
16°C
$0 Vol.
95%
17°C
$0 Vol.
95%
18°C
$0 Vol.
50%
19°C
$0 Vol.
51%
20°C
$0 Vol.
95%
21°C
$0 Vol.
95%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$201 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around an 18–20°C overnight low for Beijing on September 4, reflecting model agreement on clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly or variable winds under high pressure, and modest radiative cooling. Dew points near 14–16°C and low humidity support efficient heat loss after sunset, while Beijing’s urban heat island and surrounding terrain limit further drops. Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models show minimal day-to-day shifts, with no incoming fronts or significant moisture expected to alter the boundary layer. The narrow spread between leading outcomes highlights uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized cooling rates rather than broader synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$350Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around an 18–20°C overnight low for Beijing on September 4, reflecting model agreement on clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly or variable winds under high pressure, and modest radiative cooling. Dew points near 14–16°C and low humidity support efficient heat loss after sunset, while Beijing’s urban heat island and surrounding terrain limit further drops. Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models show minimal day-to-day shifts, with no incoming fronts or significant moisture expected to alter the boundary layer. The narrow spread between leading outcomes highlights uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized cooling rates rather than broader synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$350Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around an 18–20°C overnight low for Beijing on September 4, reflecting model agreement on clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly or variable winds under high pressure, and modest radiative cooling. Dew points near 14–16°C and low humidity support efficient heat loss after sunset, while Beijing’s urban heat island and surrounding terrain limit further drops. Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and global models show minimal day-to-day shifts, with no incoming fronts or significant moisture expected to alter the boundary layer. The narrow spread between leading outcomes highlights uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized cooling rates rather than broader synoptic changes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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