Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts point to a minimum of 16–17°C overnight into August 27 amid widespread rain, thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus splitting narrowly between 18°C and 19°C reflects model spread on exact timing of any clearing, wind-driven mixing from easterly to southwesterly flows, and urban heat-island effects in central London. Thunderstorm activity can trap heat and raise overnight lows, while brief drier intervals might allow modest drops; ensembles show limited downside risk below 17°C given the unsettled pattern. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely sharpen these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on August 27?
19°C 41%
18°C 40%
17°C 13%
20°C 9%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
13%
18°C
40%
19°C
41%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 41%
18°C 40%
17°C 13%
20°C 9%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
13%
18°C
40%
19°C
41%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts point to a minimum of 16–17°C overnight into August 27 amid widespread rain, thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus splitting narrowly between 18°C and 19°C reflects model spread on exact timing of any clearing, wind-driven mixing from easterly to southwesterly flows, and urban heat-island effects in central London. Thunderstorm activity can trap heat and raise overnight lows, while brief drier intervals might allow modest drops; ensembles show limited downside risk below 17°C given the unsettled pattern. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will likely sharpen these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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