Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts for London indicate a minimum temperature near 16–17°C on August 28, driven by overnight cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds around 10–15 mph, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions follow a period of unsettled, humid weather with thunderstorms, which has kept nighttime temperatures elevated compared to clearer climatological baselines. Model spreads remain narrow but sensitive to exact timing of any breaks in cloud, creating the close contest between 16°C and 17°C implied probabilities. Updated runs from the next 24 hours will refine whether clearer intervals allow a dip toward 15°C or sustained mixing holds the low at 17°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on August 28?
16°C 44%
17°C 37%
15°C 15%
12°C 7%
11°C or below
3%
12°C
7%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
15%
16°C
44%
17°C
37%
18°C
6%
19°C
5%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
16°C 44%
17°C 37%
15°C 15%
12°C 7%
11°C or below
3%
12°C
7%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
15%
16°C
44%
17°C
37%
18°C
6%
19°C
5%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts for London indicate a minimum temperature near 16–17°C on August 28, driven by overnight cloud cover, moderate southwesterly winds around 10–15 mph, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions follow a period of unsettled, humid weather with thunderstorms, which has kept nighttime temperatures elevated compared to clearer climatological baselines. Model spreads remain narrow but sensitive to exact timing of any breaks in cloud, creating the close contest between 16°C and 17°C implied probabilities. Updated runs from the next 24 hours will refine whether clearer intervals allow a dip toward 15°C or sustained mixing holds the low at 17°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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