Persistent tropical moisture and thunderstorm activity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across South Florida, with National Weather Service and private model guidance showing Miami minima in the low 80s °F for August 26 under mostly cloudy skies and 60-80% rain chances. High dew points near 76-78 °F further suppress temperature drops, while any localized clearer intervals after midnight could allow brief radiational cooling toward the upper 70s. Market-implied odds favoring the 78-79 °F and 80-81 °F bins reflect this narrow uncertainty range between model consensus and potential convective clearing, consistent with August climatology where daily lows average near 78 °F but have trended warmer in recent years. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the final minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Miami on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 26?
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 29%
76-77°F 15%
82-83°F 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
11%
86°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 29%
76-77°F 15%
82-83°F 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
67°F or below
$100 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$10 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$10 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$102 Vol.
7%
76-77°F
$144 Vol.
15%
78-79°F
$14 Vol.
35%
80-81°F
$421 Vol.
29%
82-83°F
$55 Vol.
12%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
11%
86°F or higher
$280 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent tropical moisture and thunderstorm activity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across South Florida, with National Weather Service and private model guidance showing Miami minima in the low 80s °F for August 26 under mostly cloudy skies and 60-80% rain chances. High dew points near 76-78 °F further suppress temperature drops, while any localized clearer intervals after midnight could allow brief radiational cooling toward the upper 70s. Market-implied odds favoring the 78-79 °F and 80-81 °F bins reflect this narrow uncertainty range between model consensus and potential convective clearing, consistent with August climatology where daily lows average near 78 °F but have trended warmer in recent years. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,150Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent tropical moisture and thunderstorm activity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across South Florida, with National Weather Service and private model guidance showing Miami minima in the low 80s °F for August 26 under mostly cloudy skies and 60-80% rain chances. High dew points near 76-78 °F further suppress temperature drops, while any localized clearer intervals after midnight could allow brief radiational cooling toward the upper 70s. Market-implied odds favoring the 78-79 °F and 80-81 °F bins reflect this narrow uncertainty range between model consensus and potential convective clearing, consistent with August climatology where daily lows average near 78 °F but have trended warmer in recent years. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,150Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent tropical moisture and thunderstorm activity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across South Florida, with National Weather Service and private model guidance showing Miami minima in the low 80s °F for August 26 under mostly cloudy skies and 60-80% rain chances. High dew points near 76-78 °F further suppress temperature drops, while any localized clearer intervals after midnight could allow brief radiational cooling toward the upper 70s. Market-implied odds favoring the 78-79 °F and 80-81 °F bins reflect this narrow uncertainty range between model consensus and potential convective clearing, consistent with August climatology where daily lows average near 78 °F but have trended warmer in recent years. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the final minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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