Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and European models indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 23 will likely fall between 13–16°C, driven by a typical late-summer cooling pattern with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Highs around 21–25°C support modest overnight drops, while any passing frontal system or increased cloud cover could limit cooling to the higher end near 15–16°C. Conversely, clearer conditions or a stronger high-pressure influence might push the low toward 13°C or below. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered at 44–46% across these thresholds, traders reflect genuine forecast uncertainty from model spread and limited lead time before resolution, typical for short-range temperature markets where small shifts in humidity or wind can alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Moscow on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 23?
20°C or higher 87%
15°C 46%
16°C 45%
13°C 45%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
10°C or below
42%
11°C
27%
12°C
45%
13°C
45%
14°C
27%
15°C
46%
16°C
45%
17°C
27%
18°C
45%
19°C
27%
20°C or higher
87%
20°C or higher 87%
15°C 46%
16°C 45%
13°C 45%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
10°C or below
$5 Vol.
42%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
45%
13°C
$0 Vol.
45%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$15 Vol.
46%
16°C
$0 Vol.
45%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$15 Vol.
45%
19°C
$15 Vol.
27%
20°C or higher
$27 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and European models indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 23 will likely fall between 13–16°C, driven by a typical late-summer cooling pattern with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Highs around 21–25°C support modest overnight drops, while any passing frontal system or increased cloud cover could limit cooling to the higher end near 15–16°C. Conversely, clearer conditions or a stronger high-pressure influence might push the low toward 13°C or below. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered at 44–46% across these thresholds, traders reflect genuine forecast uncertainty from model spread and limited lead time before resolution, typical for short-range temperature markets where small shifts in humidity or wind can alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$77Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and European models indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 23 will likely fall between 13–16°C, driven by a typical late-summer cooling pattern with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Highs around 21–25°C support modest overnight drops, while any passing frontal system or increased cloud cover could limit cooling to the higher end near 15–16°C. Conversely, clearer conditions or a stronger high-pressure influence might push the low toward 13°C or below. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered at 44–46% across these thresholds, traders reflect genuine forecast uncertainty from model spread and limited lead time before resolution, typical for short-range temperature markets where small shifts in humidity or wind can alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$77Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and European models indicate Moscow's minimum temperature on August 23 will likely fall between 13–16°C, driven by a typical late-summer cooling pattern with overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Highs around 21–25°C support modest overnight drops, while any passing frontal system or increased cloud cover could limit cooling to the higher end near 15–16°C. Conversely, clearer conditions or a stronger high-pressure influence might push the low toward 13°C or below. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered at 44–46% across these thresholds, traders reflect genuine forecast uncertainty from model spread and limited lead time before resolution, typical for short-range temperature markets where small shifts in humidity or wind can alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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