Forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles indicate Moscow’s overnight low on September 8 will likely fall between 5–8 °C, driven by northwest advection of cooler maritime air behind recent frontal passages and enhanced radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This places the market-implied odds near 5–7 °C in close contention, as small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical climatology shows an average low near 9 °C, underscoring the current anomaly. Traders are monitoring the next GFS/ECMWF runs and official Russian forecasts for any late adjustments to wind speed or nocturnal cloud trends before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Moscow on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 8?
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
6°C 27%
5°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Sep 8, 2026
4°C or below
1%
5°C
27%
6°C
27%
7°C
27%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
1%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
8%
14°C or higher
1%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
6°C 27%
5°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Sep 8, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
5°C
$11 Vol.
27%
6°C
$0 Vol.
27%
7°C
$0 Vol.
27%
8°C
$0 Vol.
27%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$150 Vol.
1%
11°C
$50 Vol.
50%
12°C
$200 Vol.
50%
13°C
$50 Vol.
8%
14°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles indicate Moscow’s overnight low on September 8 will likely fall between 5–8 °C, driven by northwest advection of cooler maritime air behind recent frontal passages and enhanced radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This places the market-implied odds near 5–7 °C in close contention, as small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical climatology shows an average low near 9 °C, underscoring the current anomaly. Traders are monitoring the next GFS/ECMWF runs and official Russian forecasts for any late adjustments to wind speed or nocturnal cloud trends before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$461Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles indicate Moscow’s overnight low on September 8 will likely fall between 5–8 °C, driven by northwest advection of cooler maritime air behind recent frontal passages and enhanced radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This places the market-implied odds near 5–7 °C in close contention, as small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical climatology shows an average low near 9 °C, underscoring the current anomaly. Traders are monitoring the next GFS/ECMWF runs and official Russian forecasts for any late adjustments to wind speed or nocturnal cloud trends before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$461Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 8, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles indicate Moscow’s overnight low on September 8 will likely fall between 5–8 °C, driven by northwest advection of cooler maritime air behind recent frontal passages and enhanced radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This places the market-implied odds near 5–7 °C in close contention, as small differences in cloud cover, dew-point depression, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical climatology shows an average low near 9 °C, underscoring the current anomaly. Traders are monitoring the next GFS/ECMWF runs and official Russian forecasts for any late adjustments to wind speed or nocturnal cloud trends before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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