Persistent rain and thunderstorms across Shandong, driven by monsoon moisture and low-level convergence, are suppressing daytime heating and moderating overnight lows in Qingdao. Official forecasts for August 23 indicate a daily minimum near 26°C amid continued cloud cover and scattered showers, with ensemble guidance showing modest spread due to variable rainfall intensity. Coastal marine influence and recent surface cooling from precipitation support the market's elevated implied probability for outcomes at or below 26°C, while the risk of clearer breaks could allow slightly warmer minima. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 23?
21°C or below 34%
25°C 33%
24°C 27%
27°C 27%
21°C or below
34%
22°C
9%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
33%
26°C
30%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
23%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
17%
21°C or below 34%
25°C 33%
24°C 27%
27°C 27%
21°C or below
34%
22°C
9%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
33%
26°C
30%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
23%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and thunderstorms across Shandong, driven by monsoon moisture and low-level convergence, are suppressing daytime heating and moderating overnight lows in Qingdao. Official forecasts for August 23 indicate a daily minimum near 26°C amid continued cloud cover and scattered showers, with ensemble guidance showing modest spread due to variable rainfall intensity. Coastal marine influence and recent surface cooling from precipitation support the market's elevated implied probability for outcomes at or below 26°C, while the risk of clearer breaks could allow slightly warmer minima. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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