Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light northerly winds over Seoul and Incheon on September 20, supporting efficient nighttime radiative cooling under high pressure. Low temperatures are projected in the 17–19°C range, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 18°C and 19°C. These conditions reflect a typical early-autumn transition, with minimal cloud cover and dew points near 15–17°C limiting humidity-driven warming. Model consensus shows little disagreement on steering patterns or intensification of any systems, though small variations in wind speed or residual moisture could shift overnight minima by 1°C. Updated runs from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 20?
18°C 41%
19°C 34%
17°C 19%
20°C 19%
12°C or below
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
11%
17°C
10%
18°C
41%
19°C
34%
20°C
19%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
3%
18°C 41%
19°C 34%
17°C 19%
20°C 19%
12°C or below
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
11%
17°C
10%
18°C
41%
19°C
34%
20°C
19%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate clear skies and light northerly winds over Seoul and Incheon on September 20, supporting efficient nighttime radiative cooling under high pressure. Low temperatures are projected in the 17–19°C range, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 18°C and 19°C. These conditions reflect a typical early-autumn transition, with minimal cloud cover and dew points near 15–17°C limiting humidity-driven warming. Model consensus shows little disagreement on steering patterns or intensification of any systems, though small variations in wind speed or residual moisture could shift overnight minima by 1°C. Updated runs from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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