**Persistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and cloud cover are positioning overnight lows in Shenzhen around 26–27°C for August 28, aligning with the market’s top-implied outcomes (27°C at 49.5%, 26°C at 39.5%).** In Shenzhen’s humid subtropical climate, August features frequent convective rainfall from the East Asian monsoon and weak steering influences. Multiple forecasts (including local meteorological sources and international models) show August 28 with multi-cloud skies, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds, limiting radiational cooling after sunset. This keeps minimum temperatures in the 25–28°C range, consistent with recent days’ observed lows near 25–26°C amid ongoing rain. Stronger cooling would require clearer skies and lighter winds, which current patterns do not favor, while higher readings remain possible only if daytime heating lingers unusually long. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 28?
27°C 47%
28°C 42%
26°C 39%
25°C 34%
BARU
BARU
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
10%
25°C
34%
26°C
39%
27°C
47%
28°C
42%
29°C
25%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
5%
27°C 47%
28°C 42%
26°C 39%
25°C 34%
BARU
BARU
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$28 Vol.
2%
23°C
$22 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
10%
25°C
$0 Vol.
34%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
47%
28°C
$0 Vol.
42%
29°C
$0 Vol.
25%
30°C
$22 Vol.
9%
31°C
$37 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$37 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and cloud cover are positioning overnight lows in Shenzhen around 26–27°C for August 28, aligning with the market’s top-implied outcomes (27°C at 49.5%, 26°C at 39.5%).**
In Shenzhen’s humid subtropical climate, August features frequent convective rainfall from the East Asian monsoon and weak steering influences. Multiple forecasts (including local meteorological sources and international models) show August 28 with multi-cloud skies, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds, limiting radiational cooling after sunset. This keeps minimum temperatures in the 25–28°C range, consistent with recent days’ observed lows near 25–26°C amid ongoing rain. Stronger cooling would require clearer skies and lighter winds, which current patterns do not favor, while higher readings remain possible only if daytime heating lingers unusually long. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$130Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and cloud cover are positioning overnight lows in Shenzhen around 26–27°C for August 28, aligning with the market’s top-implied outcomes (27°C at 49.5%, 26°C at 39.5%).**
In Shenzhen’s humid subtropical climate, August features frequent convective rainfall from the East Asian monsoon and weak steering influences. Multiple forecasts (including local meteorological sources and international models) show August 28 with multi-cloud skies, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds, limiting radiational cooling after sunset. This keeps minimum temperatures in the 25–28°C range, consistent with recent days’ observed lows near 25–26°C amid ongoing rain. Stronger cooling would require clearer skies and lighter winds, which current patterns do not favor, while higher readings remain possible only if daytime heating lingers unusually long. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$130Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and cloud cover are positioning overnight lows in Shenzhen around 26–27°C for August 28, aligning with the market’s top-implied outcomes (27°C at 49.5%, 26°C at 39.5%).** In Shenzhen’s humid subtropical climate, August features frequent convective rainfall from the East Asian monsoon and weak steering influences. Multiple forecasts (including local meteorological sources and international models) show August 28 with multi-cloud skies, scattered thunderstorms, and light winds, limiting radiational cooling after sunset. This keeps minimum temperatures in the 25–28°C range, consistent with recent days’ observed lows near 25–26°C amid ongoing rain. Stronger cooling would require clearer skies and lighter winds, which current patterns do not favor, while higher readings remain possible only if daytime heating lingers unusually long. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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