Recent forecast guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to typical subtropical monsoon conditions in Shenzhen, with overnight lows holding near 26–28°C amid high humidity and scattered showers or thunderstorms. Cloud cover and rainfall from lingering tropical moisture can suppress daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling at night, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 22°C or below as the implied favorite. Historical August baselines show average lows of 25–27°C, but model runs through the final 48 hours before August 26 carry uncertainty ranges of several degrees due to variable steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated NWP outputs and local observations ahead of the daily minimum will be the key drivers shifting these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
22°C or below 90%
26°C 48%
23°C 47%
24°C 47%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
90%
23°C
47%
24°C
47%
25°C
47%
26°C
48%
27°C
30%
28°C
26%
29°C
24%
30°C
46%
31°C
46%
32°C or higher
1%
22°C or below 90%
26°C 48%
23°C 47%
24°C 47%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
90%
23°C
$0 Vol.
47%
24°C
$0 Vol.
47%
25°C
$0 Vol.
47%
26°C
$0 Vol.
48%
27°C
$0 Vol.
30%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
24%
30°C
$0 Vol.
46%
31°C
$0 Vol.
46%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to typical subtropical monsoon conditions in Shenzhen, with overnight lows holding near 26–28°C amid high humidity and scattered showers or thunderstorms. Cloud cover and rainfall from lingering tropical moisture can suppress daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling at night, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 22°C or below as the implied favorite. Historical August baselines show average lows of 25–27°C, but model runs through the final 48 hours before August 26 carry uncertainty ranges of several degrees due to variable steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated NWP outputs and local observations ahead of the daily minimum will be the key drivers shifting these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to typical subtropical monsoon conditions in Shenzhen, with overnight lows holding near 26–28°C amid high humidity and scattered showers or thunderstorms. Cloud cover and rainfall from lingering tropical moisture can suppress daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling at night, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 22°C or below as the implied favorite. Historical August baselines show average lows of 25–27°C, but model runs through the final 48 hours before August 26 carry uncertainty ranges of several degrees due to variable steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated NWP outputs and local observations ahead of the daily minimum will be the key drivers shifting these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to typical subtropical monsoon conditions in Shenzhen, with overnight lows holding near 26–28°C amid high humidity and scattered showers or thunderstorms. Cloud cover and rainfall from lingering tropical moisture can suppress daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling at night, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 22°C or below as the implied favorite. Historical August baselines show average lows of 25–27°C, but model runs through the final 48 hours before August 26 carry uncertainty ranges of several degrees due to variable steering patterns and precipitation timing. Updated NWP outputs and local observations ahead of the daily minimum will be the key drivers shifting these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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