El Niño conditions strengthening through mid-2026, alongside a developing positive Indian Ocean Dipole, are driving warmer and drier Southwest Monsoon patterns across Singapore, pushing overnight minima higher than the long-term August average of 25.3°C. Official outlooks highlight fair, occasionally windy conditions with nights often staying above 27°C, while model consensus for August 22 points to lows near 26–27°C amid variable cloud cover and limited rainfall that could allow greater radiative cooling or trap heat. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these thresholds because small shifts in humidity, wind, or brief showers—common even in drier periods—can swing the daily minimum by 1–2°C, with historical extremes rarely dipping below 24°C in this season. Updated National Environment Agency guidance and short-range model runs will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Singapore on August 22?
28°C 27%
29°C 27%
25°C 26%
23°C 2%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
26%
26°C
38%
27°C
30%
28°C
27%
29°C
27%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 27%
29°C 27%
25°C 26%
23°C 2%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
26%
26°C
38%
27°C
30%
28°C
27%
29°C
27%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...El Niño conditions strengthening through mid-2026, alongside a developing positive Indian Ocean Dipole, are driving warmer and drier Southwest Monsoon patterns across Singapore, pushing overnight minima higher than the long-term August average of 25.3°C. Official outlooks highlight fair, occasionally windy conditions with nights often staying above 27°C, while model consensus for August 22 points to lows near 26–27°C amid variable cloud cover and limited rainfall that could allow greater radiative cooling or trap heat. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these thresholds because small shifts in humidity, wind, or brief showers—common even in drier periods—can swing the daily minimum by 1–2°C, with historical extremes rarely dipping below 24°C in this season. Updated National Environment Agency guidance and short-range model runs will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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