Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a daily minimum near 24°C in Tel Aviv on September 22, consistent with late-summer climatology where overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds typically yields lows of 22–25°C. The near-even split between 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher outcomes reflects trader focus on tail risks: stronger-than-expected northerly flow or increased cloud cover could suppress the minimum via reduced longwave cooling, while persistent subsidence and drier air might allow greater nocturnal temperature drops. Key variables include sea-surface temperatures around 27°C moderating the boundary layer, local urban heat-island effects, and any late-model shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position before the September 22 resolution window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 22?
18°C or below 100%
28°C or higher 98%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
18°C or below
100%
19°C
39%
20°C
38%
21°C
38%
22°C
37%
23°C
37%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C or higher
98%
18°C or below 100%
28°C or higher 98%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
18°C or below
100%
19°C
39%
20°C
38%
21°C
38%
22°C
37%
23°C
37%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a daily minimum near 24°C in Tel Aviv on September 22, consistent with late-summer climatology where overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light winds typically yields lows of 22–25°C. The near-even split between 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher outcomes reflects trader focus on tail risks: stronger-than-expected northerly flow or increased cloud cover could suppress the minimum via reduced longwave cooling, while persistent subsidence and drier air might allow greater nocturnal temperature drops. Key variables include sea-surface temperatures around 27°C moderating the boundary layer, local urban heat-island effects, and any late-model shifts in the 500 hPa ridge position before the September 22 resolution window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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