Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv near 22–23°C on September 20, consistent with trader-implied probabilities clustering around those levels amid closely matched odds. Clear skies overnight promote radiative cooling, while light northerly to northwesterly winds and elevated dew points near 17–20°C limit further drops in this Mediterranean coastal setting. Sea surface temperatures around 29°C and urban heat effects add thermal buffering, narrowing the range between 21°C and 23°C outcomes. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering patterns and no incoming fronts, though small variations in boundary-layer mixing or exact timing of the overnight low create the observed uncertainty. Updated observations from the Israel Meteorological Service or local stations will refine resolution as the day concludes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 20?
21°C 100%
18°C or below 88%
20°C 20%
19°C 18%
18°C or below
88%
19°C
18%
20°C
20%
21°C
100%
22°C
49%
23°C
48%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
21°C 100%
18°C or below 88%
20°C 20%
19°C 18%
18°C or below
88%
19°C
18%
20°C
20%
21°C
100%
22°C
49%
23°C
48%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv near 22–23°C on September 20, consistent with trader-implied probabilities clustering around those levels amid closely matched odds. Clear skies overnight promote radiative cooling, while light northerly to northwesterly winds and elevated dew points near 17–20°C limit further drops in this Mediterranean coastal setting. Sea surface temperatures around 29°C and urban heat effects add thermal buffering, narrowing the range between 21°C and 23°C outcomes. Model consensus shows minimal disagreement on steering patterns and no incoming fronts, though small variations in boundary-layer mixing or exact timing of the overnight low create the observed uncertainty. Updated observations from the Israel Meteorological Service or local stations will refine resolution as the day concludes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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