**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 7–9°C for Wellington’s overnight minimum on September 19, reflecting MetService’s forecast of 7°C alongside model guidance showing 8–10°C.** Northwesterly flow ahead of a possible southerly change, combined with variable cloud cover and springtime wind mixing, creates the narrow range. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes near- or above-average temperatures for the Wellington region under El Niño influences, yet occasional cold outbreaks remain possible. Historical September minima average near 8°C, so current model spreads of roughly 2–3°C keep probabilities balanced across the leading outcomes while assigning only marginal odds to extremes below 5°C or above 11°C. Updated MetService and NIWA guidance on the 19th will be the key near-term catalyst.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Wellington on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 19?
11°C 39%
5°C 37%
6°C 37%
10°C 37%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
4°C or below
1%
5°C
37%
6°C
37%
7°C
25%
8°C
28%
9°C
31%
10°C
37%
11°C
39%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C or higher
1%
11°C 39%
5°C 37%
6°C 37%
10°C 37%
BARU
BARU
Sep 19, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
5°C
$0 Vol.
37%
6°C
$0 Vol.
37%
7°C
$0 Vol.
25%
8°C
$0 Vol.
28%
9°C
$6 Vol.
31%
10°C
$0 Vol.
37%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
2%
13°C
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 7–9°C for Wellington’s overnight minimum on September 19, reflecting MetService’s forecast of 7°C alongside model guidance showing 8–10°C.**
Northwesterly flow ahead of a possible southerly change, combined with variable cloud cover and springtime wind mixing, creates the narrow range. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes near- or above-average temperatures for the Wellington region under El Niño influences, yet occasional cold outbreaks remain possible. Historical September minima average near 8°C, so current model spreads of roughly 2–3°C keep probabilities balanced across the leading outcomes while assigning only marginal odds to extremes below 5°C or above 11°C. Updated MetService and NIWA guidance on the 19th will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$6Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 7–9°C for Wellington’s overnight minimum on September 19, reflecting MetService’s forecast of 7°C alongside model guidance showing 8–10°C.**
Northwesterly flow ahead of a possible southerly change, combined with variable cloud cover and springtime wind mixing, creates the narrow range. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes near- or above-average temperatures for the Wellington region under El Niño influences, yet occasional cold outbreaks remain possible. Historical September minima average near 8°C, so current model spreads of roughly 2–3°C keep probabilities balanced across the leading outcomes while assigning only marginal odds to extremes below 5°C or above 11°C. Updated MetService and NIWA guidance on the 19th will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 7–9°C for Wellington’s overnight minimum on September 19, reflecting MetService’s forecast of 7°C alongside model guidance showing 8–10°C.** Northwesterly flow ahead of a possible southerly change, combined with variable cloud cover and springtime wind mixing, creates the narrow range. NIWA’s seasonal outlook notes near- or above-average temperatures for the Wellington region under El Niño influences, yet occasional cold outbreaks remain possible. Historical September minima average near 8°C, so current model spreads of roughly 2–3°C keep probabilities balanced across the leading outcomes while assigning only marginal odds to extremes below 5°C or above 11°C. Updated MetService and NIWA guidance on the 19th will be the key near-term catalyst.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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