Recent forecasts indicate a cooling trend in Wuhan driven by northerly winds and peripheral influences from typhoon activity, bringing cloudy skies and rain on August 30 that will limit daytime heating and enhance nocturnal cooling through increased cloud cover and precipitation. This shifts the expected minimum from recent highs near 28–30°C toward 24–27°C, with model consensus centering on 25–27°C depending on exact rainfall timing, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture retention. Minor divergences in ensemble runs—particularly around cloud thickness and storm cell placement—create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes, as these thresholds hinge on small differences in radiative cooling under humid subtropical conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
30°C 59%
26°C 45%
24°C 45%
27°C 44%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
16%
23°C
11%
24°C
45%
25°C
43%
26°C
45%
27°C
44%
28°C
2%
29°C
43%
30°C
59%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
13%
30°C 59%
26°C 45%
24°C 45%
27°C 44%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C
$0 Vol.
11%
24°C
$0 Vol.
45%
25°C
$0 Vol.
43%
26°C
$0 Vol.
45%
27°C
$0 Vol.
44%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
43%
30°C
$5 Vol.
59%
31°C
$5 Vol.
15%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a cooling trend in Wuhan driven by northerly winds and peripheral influences from typhoon activity, bringing cloudy skies and rain on August 30 that will limit daytime heating and enhance nocturnal cooling through increased cloud cover and precipitation. This shifts the expected minimum from recent highs near 28–30°C toward 24–27°C, with model consensus centering on 25–27°C depending on exact rainfall timing, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture retention. Minor divergences in ensemble runs—particularly around cloud thickness and storm cell placement—create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes, as these thresholds hinge on small differences in radiative cooling under humid subtropical conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$15Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a cooling trend in Wuhan driven by northerly winds and peripheral influences from typhoon activity, bringing cloudy skies and rain on August 30 that will limit daytime heating and enhance nocturnal cooling through increased cloud cover and precipitation. This shifts the expected minimum from recent highs near 28–30°C toward 24–27°C, with model consensus centering on 25–27°C depending on exact rainfall timing, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture retention. Minor divergences in ensemble runs—particularly around cloud thickness and storm cell placement—create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes, as these thresholds hinge on small differences in radiative cooling under humid subtropical conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate a cooling trend in Wuhan driven by northerly winds and peripheral influences from typhoon activity, bringing cloudy skies and rain on August 30 that will limit daytime heating and enhance nocturnal cooling through increased cloud cover and precipitation. This shifts the expected minimum from recent highs near 28–30°C toward 24–27°C, with model consensus centering on 25–27°C depending on exact rainfall timing, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture retention. Minor divergences in ensemble runs—particularly around cloud thickness and storm cell placement—create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C outcomes, as these thresholds hinge on small differences in radiative cooling under humid subtropical conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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