Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 69.7% share of the 2024 general election vote. Rashida Tlaib seeks reelection in a seat encompassing portions of Wayne and Oakland counties, where Democratic primary voters on August 4 will select the nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Limited Republican recruitment and the absence of competitive general-election opposition reinforce trader consensus on a Democratic hold. A decisive primary challenge or an unforeseen national shift in voter sentiment could alter the trajectory, though structural factors such as district lines and turnout patterns have historically preserved the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMI-12 House Election Winner
MI-12 House Election Winner
$28,890 Vol.
$28,890 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$28,890 Vol.
$28,890 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,714 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$11,175 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 69.7% share of the 2024 general election vote. Rashida Tlaib seeks reelection in a seat encompassing portions of Wayne and Oakland counties, where Democratic primary voters on August 4 will select the nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Limited Republican recruitment and the absence of competitive general-election opposition reinforce trader consensus on a Democratic hold. A decisive primary challenge or an unforeseen national shift in voter sentiment could alter the trajectory, though structural factors such as district lines and turnout patterns have historically preserved the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$28,890Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 69.7% share of the 2024 general election vote. Rashida Tlaib seeks reelection in a seat encompassing portions of Wayne and Oakland counties, where Democratic primary voters on August 4 will select the nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Limited Republican recruitment and the absence of competitive general-election opposition reinforce trader consensus on a Democratic hold. A decisive primary challenge or an unforeseen national shift in voter sentiment could alter the trajectory, though structural factors such as district lines and turnout patterns have historically preserved the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,890Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 69.7% share of the 2024 general election vote. Rashida Tlaib seeks reelection in a seat encompassing portions of Wayne and Oakland counties, where Democratic primary voters on August 4 will select the nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. Limited Republican recruitment and the absence of competitive general-election opposition reinforce trader consensus on a Democratic hold. A decisive primary challenge or an unforeseen national shift in voter sentiment could alter the trajectory, though structural factors such as district lines and turnout patterns have historically preserved the outcome.
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