Rashida Tlaib holds a commanding lead in the Michigan 12th congressional district race due to the area's entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. As the incumbent first elected in 2018, Tlaib secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against two challengers, clearing the path for the November 3 general election against Republican James Hooper. The district's voter composition and historical margins, including Tlaib's 70 percent share in 2024, reinforce trader expectations of a wide victory. Significant shifts would require major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal, health event, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the structural partisan baseline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiMI-12 House Election Winner
MI-12 House Election Winner
$39,214 Vol.
$39,214 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Rashida Tlaib (D)
96%
James Hooper (R)
1%
$39,214 Vol.
$39,214 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Rashida Tlaib (D)
$21,751 Vol.
96%
James Hooper (R)
$17,463 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib holds a commanding lead in the Michigan 12th congressional district race due to the area's entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. As the incumbent first elected in 2018, Tlaib secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against two challengers, clearing the path for the November 3 general election against Republican James Hooper. The district's voter composition and historical margins, including Tlaib's 70 percent share in 2024, reinforce trader expectations of a wide victory. Significant shifts would require major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal, health event, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the structural partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$39,214Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib holds a commanding lead in the Michigan 12th congressional district race due to the area's entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. As the incumbent first elected in 2018, Tlaib secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against two challengers, clearing the path for the November 3 general election against Republican James Hooper. The district's voter composition and historical margins, including Tlaib's 70 percent share in 2024, reinforce trader expectations of a wide victory. Significant shifts would require major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal, health event, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the structural partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,214Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rashida Tlaib holds a commanding lead in the Michigan 12th congressional district race due to the area's entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. As the incumbent first elected in 2018, Tlaib secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against two challengers, clearing the path for the November 3 general election against Republican James Hooper. The district's voter composition and historical margins, including Tlaib's 70 percent share in 2024, reinforce trader expectations of a wide victory. Significant shifts would require major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal, health event, or dramatic national political realignment capable of overcoming the structural partisan baseline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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