North Carolina's 3rd congressional district remains structurally Republican-leaning following the October 2025 redistricting, which preserved a Cook Partisan Voting Index advantage and a projected Trump margin of around 14 points. Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy secured an uncontested primary and holds substantial campaign resources heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. won his March 2026 primary but faces an uphill path against the district's fundamentals and Murphy's established position. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, while a Democratic-sponsored poll in late July showed Murphy narrowly ahead. These factors underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome, with limited recent catalysts to alter the balance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNC-03 House Election Winner
NC-03 House Election Winner
$19,163 Vol.
$19,163 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
14%
$19,163 Vol.
$19,163 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$14,276 Vol.
86%
Democratic Party
$4,886 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 3rd congressional district remains structurally Republican-leaning following the October 2025 redistricting, which preserved a Cook Partisan Voting Index advantage and a projected Trump margin of around 14 points. Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy secured an uncontested primary and holds substantial campaign resources heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. won his March 2026 primary but faces an uphill path against the district's fundamentals and Murphy's established position. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, while a Democratic-sponsored poll in late July showed Murphy narrowly ahead. These factors underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome, with limited recent catalysts to alter the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$19,163Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 3rd congressional district remains structurally Republican-leaning following the October 2025 redistricting, which preserved a Cook Partisan Voting Index advantage and a projected Trump margin of around 14 points. Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy secured an uncontested primary and holds substantial campaign resources heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. won his March 2026 primary but faces an uphill path against the district's fundamentals and Murphy's established position. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, while a Democratic-sponsored poll in late July showed Murphy narrowly ahead. These factors underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome, with limited recent catalysts to alter the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,163Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 3rd congressional district remains structurally Republican-leaning following the October 2025 redistricting, which preserved a Cook Partisan Voting Index advantage and a projected Trump margin of around 14 points. Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy secured an uncontested primary and holds substantial campaign resources heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. won his March 2026 primary but faces an uphill path against the district's fundamentals and Murphy's established position. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, while a Democratic-sponsored poll in late July showed Murphy narrowly ahead. These factors underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome, with limited recent catalysts to alter the balance.
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