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Pemilihan Umum·Jangka Menengah

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

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Pemilihan Umum·Jangka Menengah

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 34%

Brad Cohen 27%

Adam Hamawy 24%

Susan Altman 22%

Polymarket

$25,831 Vol.

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 34%

Brad Cohen 27%

Adam Hamawy 24%

Susan Altman 22%

Polymarket

$25,831 Vol.

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

$203 Vol.

30%

Brad Cohen

$791 Vol.

40%

Adam Hamawy

$484 Vol.

25%

Susan Altman

$14,152 Vol.

22%

Elijah Dixon

$787 Vol.

14%

Adrian Mapp

$629 Vol.

10%

Michael Anderson

$1,918 Vol.

5%

Matthew Adams

$684 Vol.

5%

Raymond Heck

$789 Vol.

3%

Kyle Little

$839 Vol.

2%

Tennille R. McCoy

$4,555 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 38% implied probability, driven by his dominant March win of the Middlesex County Democratic endorsement in a populous district anchor. State Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson follows at 27.5% with $144,000 raised in Q1 2026, while surgeon Adam Hamawy (22.5%) boasts top fundraising at nearly $550,000 and pro-Palestinian endorsements, and activist Susan Altman (22%) leverages over $400,000 in early cash plus a Princeton endorsement. Recent Princeton and upcoming Hopewell forums on April 22 underscore the fragmented field ahead of the June 2 primary, with no public polls to guide sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$25,831
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In New Jersey's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, East Brunswick Mayor Brad Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 38% implied probability, driven by his dominant March win of the Middlesex County Democratic endorsement in a populous district anchor. State Assemblywoman Verlina Reynolds-Jackson follows at 27.5% with $144,000 raised in Q1 2026, while surgeon Adam Hamawy (22.5%) boasts top fundraising at nearly $550,000 and pro-Palestinian endorsements, and activist Susan Altman (22%) leverages over $400,000 in early cash plus a Princeton endorsement. Recent Princeton and upcoming Hopewell forums on April 22 underscore the fragmented field ahead of the June 2 primary, with no public polls to guide sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$25,831
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Brad Cohen" di 40%, diikuti oleh "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" di 30%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 40¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 40% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $25.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Mar 3, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Brad Cohen" di 40%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 40% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" di 30%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.