Keiko Fujimori leads trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability to win Peru's presidency following her 17.1% first-round performance on April 12-13, topping a fragmented 35-candidate field amid logistical delays that extended voting and slowed the official ONPE count to 93.4%. Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 12.0% secured second place narrowly over Rafael López Aliaga's 11.9%, positioning them for the June 7 runoff, with traders viewing Fujimori's established right-wing base, prior campaigns, and urban strength as key edges despite ongoing fraud protests from López Aliaga supporters. Recent rural vote tallies boosted Sánchez, but disputes and low turnout underscore uncertainty in consolidation dynamics for the decisive second round.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiPemenang Pemilihan Presiden Peru
Pemenang Pemilihan Presiden Peru
Keiko Fujimori 66%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 21.6%
Rafael López Aliaga 10%
Jorge Nieto <1%
$35,977,354 Vol.
$35,977,354 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori
66%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
22%

Rafael López Aliaga
10%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 66%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 21.6%
Rafael López Aliaga 10%
Jorge Nieto <1%
$35,977,354 Vol.
$35,977,354 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori
66%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
22%

Rafael López Aliaga
10%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Keiko Fujimori leads trader consensus at 65.5% implied probability to win Peru's presidency following her 17.1% first-round performance on April 12-13, topping a fragmented 35-candidate field amid logistical delays that extended voting and slowed the official ONPE count to 93.4%. Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 12.0% secured second place narrowly over Rafael López Aliaga's 11.9%, positioning them for the June 7 runoff, with traders viewing Fujimori's established right-wing base, prior campaigns, and urban strength as key edges despite ongoing fraud protests from López Aliaga supporters. Recent rural vote tallies boosted Sánchez, but disputes and low turnout underscore uncertainty in consolidation dynamics for the decisive second round.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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