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Politik·Primer

CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politik·Primer

CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Manny Rutinel 86%

Shannon Bird 11%

Dave Young 1.7%

Yadira Caraveo <1%

Polymarket

$14,797 Vol.

Manny Rutinel 86%

Shannon Bird 11%

Dave Young 1.7%

Yadira Caraveo <1%

Polymarket

$14,797 Vol.

Manny Rutinel

$9,450 Vol.

86%

Shannon Bird

$1,598 Vol.

11%

Dave Young

$1,253 Vol.

2%

Yadira Caraveo

$696 Vol.

1%

Amie Baca-Oehlert

$985 Vol.

1%

John Szemler

$815 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the Colorado 8th Congressional District Democratic primary heavily favors state Rep. Manny Rutinel at 87% implied probability, driven by his fundraising dominance—recent FEC filings show $1.76 million cash on hand—and strong assembly support, including over 83% preference votes at Larimer County Democrats. A $50,000 digital ad buy launched this week attacks rival Shannon Bird's legislative record, including no votes on key Democratic immigration bills amid ICE scrutiny, amplifying primary infighting highlighted by NRCC commentary. With ballots mailing June 8 ahead of the June 30 primary, low odds for others like Bird (10.5%) reflect Rutinel's perceived path to nomination in this battleground district race against Republican incumbent Gabe Evans, though late scandals or shifts in independent turnout could alter dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,797
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the Colorado 8th Congressional District Democratic primary heavily favors state Rep. Manny Rutinel at 87% implied probability, driven by his fundraising dominance—recent FEC filings show $1.76 million cash on hand—and strong assembly support, including over 83% preference votes at Larimer County Democrats. A $50,000 digital ad buy launched this week attacks rival Shannon Bird's legislative record, including no votes on key Democratic immigration bills amid ICE scrutiny, amplifying primary infighting highlighted by NRCC commentary. With ballots mailing June 8 ahead of the June 30 primary, low odds for others like Bird (10.5%) reflect Rutinel's perceived path to nomination in this battleground district race against Republican incumbent Gabe Evans, though late scandals or shifts in independent turnout could alter dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,797
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 6 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Manny Rutinel" di 86%, diikuti oleh "Shannon Bird" di 11%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 86¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 86% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $14.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 6 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Manny Rutinel" di 86%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 86% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Shannon Bird" di 11%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.