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icon for 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout

icon for 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout

60-65% 98.4%

55-60% <1%

<50% <1%

65%+ <1%

Polymarket

$190,277 Vol.

60-65% 98.4%

55-60% <1%

<50% <1%

65%+ <1%

Polymarket

$190,277 Vol.

<50%

$27,659 Vol.

No

50-55%

$29,039 Vol.

No

55-60%

$56,132 Vol.

No

60-65%

$54,449 Vol.

Yes

65%+

$22,997 Vol.

No

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).Record early voting at 23.51 percent, the highest for South Korean local elections, combined with midday figures reaching 57.4 percent by 5 p.m. on June 3, has anchored trader consensus on 60-65 percent final turnout for the Seoul mayoral contest. This exceeds the 2022 local elections' 50.9 percent nationwide rate and aligns with Seoul's confirmed 63.53 percent participation once counting concludes. The elevated participation reflects broader engagement in the first nationwide local vote under the current administration. Ballot paper shortages at multiple Seoul polling stations, which prompted extended voting, protests, and delays in National Election Commission certification, represent the primary variables that could still shift the final tally outside this narrow band.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).
Volume
$190,277
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 26, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).Record early voting at 23.51 percent, the highest for South Korean local elections, combined with midday figures reaching 57.4 percent by 5 p.m. on June 3, has anchored trader consensus on 60-65 percent final turnout for the Seoul mayoral contest. This exceeds the 2022 local elections' 50.9 percent nationwide rate and aligns with Seoul's confirmed 63.53 percent participation once counting concludes. The elevated participation reflects broader engagement in the first nationwide local vote under the current administration. Ballot paper shortages at multiple Seoul polling stations, which prompted extended voting, protests, and delays in National Election Commission certification, represent the primary variables that could still shift the final tally outside this narrow band.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).
Volume
$190,277
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 3, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 26, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Seoul mayoral election, defined as the total number of votes cast (총투표자수) divided by the total number of registered voters (선거인수). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://info.nec.go.kr/).

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "60-65%" di 100%, diikuti oleh "<50%" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout" telah menghasilkan $190.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 26, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout" adalah "60-65%" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "<50%" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "2026 Seoul Mayoral Election: Turnout" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.