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Nothing Ever Happens: March

Market icon

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Nothing

61% peluang
Polymarket

$331,883 Vol.

Nothing

61% peluang
Polymarket

$331,883 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market, reflecting that none of the six specific triggers— Iranian regime collapse, Federal Reserve rate cut, Trump election interference national emergency declaration, Insurrection Act invocation, SAVE Act enactment, or both James Talarico and John Cornyn securing Texas U.S. Senate nominations—have occurred despite tense developments. U.S. and Israeli strikes targeted thousands of Iranian sites under Operation Epic Fury, yet U.S. intelligence assesses the regime as degraded but intact, with no institutional fall. The March 18 FOMC held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% amid oil-driven inflation. Massive No Kings protests drew millions on March 28 without federal military deployment, SAVE Act stalled on Senate filibuster, and Texas Senate primaries advanced Talarico as Democratic nominee while forcing Cornyn into a May runoff. With the March 31 deadline passed and no qualifying events confirmed, traders anticipate resolution to "Nothing" barring late oracle disputes.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Volume
$331,883
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market, reflecting that none of the six specific triggers— Iranian regime collapse, Federal Reserve rate cut, Trump election interference national emergency declaration, Insurrection Act invocation, SAVE Act enactment, or both James Talarico and John Cornyn securing Texas U.S. Senate nominations—have occurred despite tense developments. U.S. and Israeli strikes targeted thousands of Iranian sites under Operation Epic Fury, yet U.S. intelligence assesses the regime as degraded but intact, with no institutional fall. The March 18 FOMC held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% amid oil-driven inflation. Massive No Kings protests drew millions on March 28 without federal military deployment, SAVE Act stalled on Senate filibuster, and Texas Senate primaries advanced Talarico as Democratic nominee while forcing Cornyn into a May runoff. With the March 31 deadline passed and no qualifying events confirmed, traders anticipate resolution to "Nothing" barring late oracle disputes.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Volume
$331,883
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Iranian Regime Falls - Fed Rate Cut - Trump declares election interference national emergency - Insurrection Act invoked - SAVE Act signed into law - James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Nothing Ever Happens: March" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 2 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Nothing Ever Happens: March" di 61%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 61¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 61% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Nothing Ever Happens: March" telah menghasilkan $331.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Mar 3, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Nothing Ever Happens: March," jelajahi 2 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Nothing Ever Happens: March" adalah "Nothing Ever Happens: March" di 61%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 61% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Nothing Ever Happens: March" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.