Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island that he carried by roughly 10 points in 2024. LaLota advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Christopher Gallant emerged from a contested primary to become the general-election nominee. The district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent House and presidential voting, combined with LaLota’s incumbency advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and constituent services, underpin trader expectations that the seat will remain in Republican hands on November 3. No major late-cycle developments have altered this positioning since the primaries concluded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNY-01 House Election Winner
NY-01 House Election Winner
$37,182 Vol.
$37,182 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
78%
Democratic Party
23%
$37,182 Vol.
$37,182 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$12,977 Vol.
78%
Democratic Party
$24,204 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island that he carried by roughly 10 points in 2024. LaLota advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Christopher Gallant emerged from a contested primary to become the general-election nominee. The district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent House and presidential voting, combined with LaLota’s incumbency advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and constituent services, underpin trader expectations that the seat will remain in Republican hands on November 3. No major late-cycle developments have altered this positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$37,182Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island that he carried by roughly 10 points in 2024. LaLota advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Christopher Gallant emerged from a contested primary to become the general-election nominee. The district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent House and presidential voting, combined with LaLota’s incumbency advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and constituent services, underpin trader expectations that the seat will remain in Republican hands on November 3. No major late-cycle developments have altered this positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$37,182Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island that he carried by roughly 10 points in 2024. LaLota advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Christopher Gallant emerged from a contested primary to become the general-election nominee. The district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent House and presidential voting, combined with LaLota’s incumbency advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and constituent services, underpin trader expectations that the seat will remain in Republican hands on November 3. No major late-cycle developments have altered this positioning since the primaries concluded.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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