Incumbent Democratic Representative Joyce Beatty secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner in Ohio's 3rd congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, centered in the Columbus metro area, combined with Beatty's established record and fundraising edge, underpins the market's 94.5% implied probability for a Democratic hold. The Republican nominee, Cleophus Dulaney, advanced through a low-visibility primary and faces structural headwinds typical of the district's electoral math. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's partisan voting index. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm surge could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given current conditions.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOH-03 House Election Winner
OH-03 House Election Winner
$46,292 Vol.
$46,292 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$46,292 Vol.
$46,292 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$29,382 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$16,910 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Joyce Beatty secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner in Ohio's 3rd congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, centered in the Columbus metro area, combined with Beatty's established record and fundraising edge, underpins the market's 94.5% implied probability for a Democratic hold. The Republican nominee, Cleophus Dulaney, advanced through a low-visibility primary and faces structural headwinds typical of the district's electoral math. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's partisan voting index. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm surge could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$46,292Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Joyce Beatty secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner in Ohio's 3rd congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, centered in the Columbus metro area, combined with Beatty's established record and fundraising edge, underpins the market's 94.5% implied probability for a Democratic hold. The Republican nominee, Cleophus Dulaney, advanced through a low-visibility primary and faces structural headwinds typical of the district's electoral math. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's partisan voting index. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm surge could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$46,292Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Joyce Beatty secured her party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner in Ohio's 3rd congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic lean, centered in the Columbus metro area, combined with Beatty's established record and fundraising edge, underpins the market's 94.5% implied probability for a Democratic hold. The Republican nominee, Cleophus Dulaney, advanced through a low-visibility primary and faces structural headwinds typical of the district's electoral math. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's partisan voting index. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm surge could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given current conditions.
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