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Politik·ES

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

icon for OH-09 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·ES

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

Derek Merrin 100.0%

Alea Nadeem <1%

Madison Sheahan <1%

Jacob Frost <1%

Polymarket

$45,985 Vol.

Derek Merrin 100.0%

Alea Nadeem <1%

Madison Sheahan <1%

Jacob Frost <1%

Polymarket

$45,985 Vol.

Derek Merrin

$16,126 Vol.

Yes

Alea Nadeem

$2,623 Vol.

No

Madison Sheahan

$9,042 Vol.

No

Jacob Frost

$2,246 Vol.

No

Josh Williams

$12,644 Vol.

No

Anthony Campbell

$1,737 Vol.

No

Wayne Kinsel

$1,569 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Derek Merrin secured the Republican nomination in Ohio's 9th Congressional District primary on May 5, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on his victory, as major outlets including the Associated Press and NBC called the race based on vote tallies from this competitive field. The former state representative outperformed challengers like State Rep. Josh Williams, former ICE deputy director Madison Sheahan, Air Force veteran Alea Nadeem, Jacob Frost, Anthony Campbell, and Wayne Kinsel, building on his narrow 2024 general election loss to incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur in the redrawn, GOP-leaning district. Pre-election polls showed Merrin leading, bolstered by local name recognition and conservative credentials. While certification typically follows within weeks, realistic challenges like a recount or legal dispute remain improbable absent evidence of irregularities.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$45,985
Tanggal Berakhir
May 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Derek Merrin secured the Republican nomination in Ohio's 9th Congressional District primary on May 5, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on his victory, as major outlets including the Associated Press and NBC called the race based on vote tallies from this competitive field. The former state representative outperformed challengers like State Rep. Josh Williams, former ICE deputy director Madison Sheahan, Air Force veteran Alea Nadeem, Jacob Frost, Anthony Campbell, and Wayne Kinsel, building on his narrow 2024 general election loss to incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur in the redrawn, GOP-leaning district. Pre-election polls showed Merrin leading, bolstered by local name recognition and conservative credentials. While certification typically follows within weeks, realistic challenges like a recount or legal dispute remain improbable absent evidence of irregularities.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$45,985
Tanggal Berakhir
May 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"OH-09 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 7 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Derek Merrin" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Alea Nadeem" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "OH-09 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $46K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 21, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "OH-09 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 7 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "OH-09 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Derek Merrin" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Alea Nadeem" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "OH-09 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.