OpenAI’s September 1 blog post confirming Astra as its first model to hit the “critical” cybersecurity threshold under its Preparedness Framework—coupled with completed safety testing and the statement that a version will be “available soon”—has driven near-even trader odds on a September 2 or 3 general-public release. Astra’s demonstrated ability to autonomously discover and chain zero-days on ExploitBench, plus post-Hugging Face incident safeguards like restricted cyber capabilities for early Daybreak Blue testers, underscore the rushed-yet-cautious rollout. With Anthropic and others advancing rival frontier models, the tight September probabilities reflect consensus that OpenAI will prioritize speed to maintain competitive positioning while meeting internal risk thresholds, though exact timing hinges on final deployment logistics.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOpenAI's Astra released on...?
OpenAI's Astra released on...?
On or prior to September 2 32.4%
No release by September 30 15%
September 13 5%
September 7 3.5%
BARU
$16,084 Vol.
BARU
$16,084 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
On or prior to September 2
32%
September 3
38%
September 4
3%
September 5
2%
September 6
2%
September 7
3%
September 8
3%
September 9
2%
September 10
2%
September 11
1%
September 12
3%
September 13
5%
September 14
1%
September 15
<1%
September 16
3%
September 17
2%
September 18
2%
September 19
2%
September 20
3%
September 21
3%
September 22
3%
September 23
3%
September 24
2%
September 25
3%
September 26
2%
September 27
1%
September 28
3%
September 29
3%
September 30
2%
No release by September 30
15%
On or prior to September 2 32.4%
No release by September 30 15%
September 13 5%
September 7 3.5%
BARU
$16,084 Vol.
BARU
$16,084 Vol.
Sep 2, 2026
On or prior to September 2
$1,019 Vol.
32%
September 3
$1,116 Vol.
38%
September 4
$916 Vol.
3%
September 5
$520 Vol.
2%
September 6
$520 Vol.
2%
September 7
$520 Vol.
3%
September 8
$520 Vol.
3%
September 9
$520 Vol.
2%
September 10
$440 Vol.
2%
September 11
$435 Vol.
1%
September 12
$430 Vol.
3%
September 13
$657 Vol.
5%
September 14
$567 Vol.
1%
September 15
$679 Vol.
<1%
September 16
$430 Vol.
3%
September 17
$430 Vol.
2%
September 18
$430 Vol.
2%
September 19
$430 Vol.
2%
September 20
$430 Vol.
3%
September 21
$440 Vol.
3%
September 22
$430 Vol.
3%
September 23
$440 Vol.
3%
September 24
$430 Vol.
2%
September 25
$440 Vol.
3%
September 26
$440 Vol.
2%
September 27
$445 Vol.
1%
September 28
$440 Vol.
3%
September 29
$430 Vol.
3%
September 30
$440 Vol.
2%
No release by September 30
$1,013 Vol.
15%
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s September 1 blog post confirming Astra as its first model to hit the “critical” cybersecurity threshold under its Preparedness Framework—coupled with completed safety testing and the statement that a version will be “available soon”—has driven near-even trader odds on a September 2 or 3 general-public release. Astra’s demonstrated ability to autonomously discover and chain zero-days on ExploitBench, plus post-Hugging Face incident safeguards like restricted cyber capabilities for early Daybreak Blue testers, underscore the rushed-yet-cautious rollout. With Anthropic and others advancing rival frontier models, the tight September probabilities reflect consensus that OpenAI will prioritize speed to maintain competitive positioning while meeting internal risk thresholds, though exact timing hinges on final deployment logistics.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Volume
$16,084Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s September 1 blog post confirming Astra as its first model to hit the “critical” cybersecurity threshold under its Preparedness Framework—coupled with completed safety testing and the statement that a version will be “available soon”—has driven near-even trader odds on a September 2 or 3 general-public release. Astra’s demonstrated ability to autonomously discover and chain zero-days on ExploitBench, plus post-Hugging Face incident safeguards like restricted cyber capabilities for early Daybreak Blue testers, underscore the rushed-yet-cautious rollout. With Anthropic and others advancing rival frontier models, the tight September probabilities reflect consensus that OpenAI will prioritize speed to maintain competitive positioning while meeting internal risk thresholds, though exact timing hinges on final deployment logistics.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$16,084Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s September 1 blog post confirming Astra as its first model to hit the “critical” cybersecurity threshold under its Preparedness Framework—coupled with completed safety testing and the statement that a version will be “available soon”—has driven near-even trader odds on a September 2 or 3 general-public release. Astra’s demonstrated ability to autonomously discover and chain zero-days on ExploitBench, plus post-Hugging Face incident safeguards like restricted cyber capabilities for early Daybreak Blue testers, underscore the rushed-yet-cautious rollout. With Anthropic and others advancing rival frontier models, the tight September probabilities reflect consensus that OpenAI will prioritize speed to maintain competitive positioning while meeting internal risk thresholds, though exact timing hinges on final deployment logistics.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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