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Politik·Primer

Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politik·Primer

Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner

Ed Diehl 45%

Christine Drazan 45%

Chris Dudley 15%

Danielle Bethell 3.6%

Polymarket

$73,624 Vol.

Ed Diehl 45%

Christine Drazan 45%

Chris Dudley 15%

Danielle Bethell 3.6%

Polymarket

$73,624 Vol.

Ed Diehl

$4,464 Vol.

42%

Christine Drazan

$16,976 Vol.

45%

Chris Dudley

$10,315 Vol.

15%

Danielle Bethell

$6,400 Vol.

4%

Kyle Duyck

$15,223 Vol.

1%

Robert Neuman

$7,264 Vol.

<1%

Chael Sonnen

$10,590 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Kintz

$2,393 Vol.

<1%

Brad T. Peters

$0 Vol.

<1%

David Medina

$0 Vol.

<1%

Patrick Kopke-Hales

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Christine Drazan holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary on May 19, reflecting her name recognition as the 2022 nominee who nearly defeated Democrat Tina Kotek, bolstered by strong fundraising over $1 million in cash on hand. State Rep. Ed Diehl trails closely at 38.5%, buoyed by grassroots momentum from gathering over 250,000 signatures to refer Kotek's $4 billion tax package to voters, though Democrats shifted it to the low-turnout May ballot. Thursday's first debate among top contenders—Drazan, Diehl, Chris Dudley, and Danielle Bethell—drew few direct attacks, yielding little separation per a post-debate Predict Oregon poll showing Diehl as perceived winner but Bethell gaining ground. With ballots mailing April 29 and a TV ad blitz underway, endorsements like radio host Lars Larson's for Diehl or fundraising surges could tip the balance in this fluid, low-polling race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$73,624
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Christine Drazan holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary on May 19, reflecting her name recognition as the 2022 nominee who nearly defeated Democrat Tina Kotek, bolstered by strong fundraising over $1 million in cash on hand. State Rep. Ed Diehl trails closely at 38.5%, buoyed by grassroots momentum from gathering over 250,000 signatures to refer Kotek's $4 billion tax package to voters, though Democrats shifted it to the low-turnout May ballot. Thursday's first debate among top contenders—Drazan, Diehl, Chris Dudley, and Danielle Bethell—drew few direct attacks, yielding little separation per a post-debate Predict Oregon poll showing Diehl as perceived winner but Bethell gaining ground. With ballots mailing April 29 and a TV ad blitz underway, endorsements like radio host Lars Larson's for Diehl or fundraising surges could tip the balance in this fluid, low-polling race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$73,624
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Christine Drazan" di 45%, diikuti oleh "Ed Diehl" di 42%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 45¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 45% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $73.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 4, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Christine Drazan" di 45%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 45% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Ed Diehl" di 42%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.