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Politik·Primer

Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
Politik·Primer

Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner

David Brock Smith 45.1%

Jo Rae Perkins 41%

Joe Johnson 3.9%

David Burch 2.9%

Polymarket

$73,248 Vol.

David Brock Smith 45.1%

Jo Rae Perkins 41%

Joe Johnson 3.9%

David Burch 2.9%

Polymarket

$73,248 Vol.

David Brock Smith

$1,987 Vol.

45%

Jo Rae Perkins

$12,278 Vol.

41%

Joe Johnson

$9,426 Vol.

4%

David Burch

$22,267 Vol.

3%

Russell McAlmond

$11,876 Vol.

2%

Tim Skelton

$8,092 Vol.

2%

Brent Barker

$692 Vol.

<1%

Deborah C. Brown

$722 Vol.

<1%

Douglas T. Muck Jr.

$5,907 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Oregon Republican U.S. Senate primary reflects a tight contest between state Sen. David Brock Smith at 45% and prior nominee Jo Rae Perkins at 41%, driven by the absence of public polling and a fragmented seven-candidate field splitting votes. Smith's slight edge stems from his legislative incumbency in District 1 and recent visibility at county GOP forums, including Pendleton on April 5 and eastern Oregon events through mid-April, positioning him as a steady conservative on taxes, safety, and homelessness. Perkins draws base support from her 2020 and 2022 nominations despite general election losses, emphasizing urgent border security critiques. With the May 19 primary looming, endorsements, fundraising reports, or debates could tip the balance in this low-turnout contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon.

If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$73,248
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Oregon Republican U.S. Senate primary reflects a tight contest between state Sen. David Brock Smith at 45% and prior nominee Jo Rae Perkins at 41%, driven by the absence of public polling and a fragmented seven-candidate field splitting votes. Smith's slight edge stems from his legislative incumbency in District 1 and recent visibility at county GOP forums, including Pendleton on April 5 and eastern Oregon events through mid-April, positioning him as a steady conservative on taxes, safety, and homelessness. Perkins draws base support from her 2020 and 2022 nominations despite general election losses, emphasizing urgent border security critiques. With the May 19 primary looming, endorsements, fundraising reports, or debates could tip the balance in this low-turnout contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon.

If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$73,248
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Oregon. If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "David Brock Smith" di 45%, diikuti oleh "Jo Rae Perkins" di 41%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 45¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 45% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $73.2K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 16, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner" adalah "David Brock Smith" di 45%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 45% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Jo Rae Perkins" di 41%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Oregon Republican Senate Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.