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Pemilihan Umum·Pemilu AS

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Pemilihan Umum·Pemilu AS

NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Hakeem Jeffries 96%

Vance Bostic 5.1%

Chi Ossé 1.3%

Polymarket
BARU

Hakeem Jeffries 96%

Vance Bostic 5.1%

Chi Ossé 1.3%

Polymarket
BARU
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary? icon

Hakeem Jeffries

$4,323 Vol.

96%

Will Vance Bostic win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary? icon

Vance Bostic

$605 Vol.

5%

Will Chi Ossé win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary? icon

Chi Ossé

$277 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Hakeem Jeffries' 95.5% implied probability in the NY-08 Democratic primary stems from his entrenched incumbency as House Democratic Leader, commanding fundraising, endorsements, and name recognition in this safe Brooklyn district, where he has historically crushed challengers with margins exceeding 70%. Progressive councilmember Chi Ossé dropped his bid in December 2025 amid limited support, leaving activist Vance Bostic—who secured ballot access after the April 2 filing deadline—as the lone notable opponent, though Bostic's grassroots campaign lacks polling traction or major momentum. With no significant developments in the past 30 days, traders price in historical base rates for incumbent reelection. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health issues, or a late progressive surge ahead of the June 23 closed primary, but structural barriers are formidable.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District.

If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$5,205
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 11, 2025, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Hakeem Jeffries' 95.5% implied probability in the NY-08 Democratic primary stems from his entrenched incumbency as House Democratic Leader, commanding fundraising, endorsements, and name recognition in this safe Brooklyn district, where he has historically crushed challengers with margins exceeding 70%. Progressive councilmember Chi Ossé dropped his bid in December 2025 amid limited support, leaving activist Vance Bostic—who secured ballot access after the April 2 filing deadline—as the lone notable opponent, though Bostic's grassroots campaign lacks polling traction or major momentum. With no significant developments in the past 30 days, traders price in historical base rates for incumbent reelection. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health issues, or a late progressive surge ahead of the June 23 closed primary, but structural barriers are formidable.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District.

If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$5,205
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 11, 2025, 5:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Representative from New York’s 8th Congressional District. If no 2026 New York 8th District Democratic House Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Hakeem Jeffries" di 96%, diikuti oleh "Vance Bostic" di 5%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 96¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 96% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Nov 11, 2025. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Hakeem Jeffries" di 96%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 96% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Vance Bostic" di 5%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "NY-08 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.