Incumbent Karen Bass secured the plurality of votes in the June 2 nonpartisan primary, advancing to the November runoff against City Councilmember Nithya Raman after late-counted ballots eliminated reality television personality Spencer Pratt. Official projections from major outlets placed Bass above 34 percent with Raman in second, reflecting the incumbent's established voter base and name recognition amid a fragmented field. Traders assign near-certain probability to Bass as first-round winner because additional ballots are unlikely to reorder the top two at this stage of tabulation. A reversal would require an unprecedented shift in remaining mail and provisional votes, which historical patterns in Los Angeles County counting render improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?
LA Mayoral Election: First Round Winner?
Karen Bass 100.0%
Rick Caruso <1%
Asaad Alnajjar <1%
Gina Viola <1%
$829,829 Vol.
$829,829 Vol.
Jun 2, 2026
Karen Bass
Yes
Rick Caruso
No
Asaad Alnajjar
No
Gina Viola
No
Spencer Pratt
No
Austin Beutner
No
Lindsey Horvath
No
Monica Rodriguez
No
Rae Huang
No
Nithya Raman
No
Adam Miller
No
Karen Bass 100.0%
Rick Caruso <1%
Asaad Alnajjar <1%
Gina Viola <1%
$829,829 Vol.
$829,829 Vol.
Jun 2, 2026
Karen Bass
$201,182 Vol.
Yes
Rick Caruso
$2,166 Vol.
No
Asaad Alnajjar
$3,999 Vol.
No
Gina Viola
$2,843 Vol.
No
Spencer Pratt
$406,516 Vol.
No
Austin Beutner
$2,097 Vol.
No
Lindsey Horvath
$5,968 Vol.
No
Monica Rodriguez
$2,556 Vol.
No
Rae Huang
$3,406 Vol.
No
Nithya Raman
$197,534 Vol.
No
Adam Miller
$1,562 Vol.
No
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass secured the plurality of votes in the June 2 nonpartisan primary, advancing to the November runoff against City Councilmember Nithya Raman after late-counted ballots eliminated reality television personality Spencer Pratt. Official projections from major outlets placed Bass above 34 percent with Raman in second, reflecting the incumbent's established voter base and name recognition amid a fragmented field. Traders assign near-certain probability to Bass as first-round winner because additional ballots are unlikely to reorder the top two at this stage of tabulation. A reversal would require an unprecedented shift in remaining mail and provisional votes, which historical patterns in Los Angeles County counting render improbable.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Pasar Dibuka: May 14, 2026, 1:36 PM ET
Volume
$829,829Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 1:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass secured the plurality of votes in the June 2 nonpartisan primary, advancing to the November runoff against City Councilmember Nithya Raman after late-counted ballots eliminated reality television personality Spencer Pratt. Official projections from major outlets placed Bass above 34 percent with Raman in second, reflecting the incumbent's established voter base and name recognition amid a fragmented field. Traders assign near-certain probability to Bass as first-round winner because additional ballots are unlikely to reorder the top two at this stage of tabulation. A reversal would require an unprecedented shift in remaining mail and provisional votes, which historical patterns in Los Angeles County counting render improbable.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Volume
$829,829Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 14, 2026, 1:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
Incumbent Karen Bass secured the plurality of votes in the June 2 nonpartisan primary, advancing to the November runoff against City Councilmember Nithya Raman after late-counted ballots eliminated reality television personality Spencer Pratt. Official projections from major outlets placed Bass above 34 percent with Raman in second, reflecting the incumbent's established voter base and name recognition amid a fragmented field. Traders assign near-certain probability to Bass as first-round winner because additional ballots are unlikely to reorder the top two at this stage of tabulation. A reversal would require an unprecedented shift in remaining mail and provisional votes, which historical patterns in Los Angeles County counting render improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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