Rhode Island's strong Democratic voter base and consistent electoral history drive the overwhelming 93% trader consensus for a Democratic governor in November 2026. Incumbent Dan McKee faces a competitive primary against Helena Foulkes, with recent UNH and other polls showing Foulkes ahead but McKee narrowing the gap ahead of the September 8 primary. The party's decision not to endorse either candidate highlights internal divisions, yet these dynamics have minimal bearing on the general election, where structural advantages for Democrats have historically produced large margins. Low probabilities for Republican or independent outcomes reflect limited crossover appeal and fundraising gaps. Late developments such as primary upsets, major scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary scenarios that could alter the current implied probability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiRhode Island Governor Election Winner
Rhode Island Governor Election Winner
Democrat 93%
Republican 2.5%
Independent 2.3%
$61,054 Vol.
$61,054 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
93%
Republican
2%
Independent
2%
Democrat 93%
Republican 2.5%
Independent 2.3%
$61,054 Vol.
$61,054 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$50,136 Vol.
93%
Republican
$9,508 Vol.
2%
Independent
$1,410 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island's strong Democratic voter base and consistent electoral history drive the overwhelming 93% trader consensus for a Democratic governor in November 2026. Incumbent Dan McKee faces a competitive primary against Helena Foulkes, with recent UNH and other polls showing Foulkes ahead but McKee narrowing the gap ahead of the September 8 primary. The party's decision not to endorse either candidate highlights internal divisions, yet these dynamics have minimal bearing on the general election, where structural advantages for Democrats have historically produced large margins. Low probabilities for Republican or independent outcomes reflect limited crossover appeal and fundraising gaps. Late developments such as primary upsets, major scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary scenarios that could alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Pasar Dibuka: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$61,054Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island's strong Democratic voter base and consistent electoral history drive the overwhelming 93% trader consensus for a Democratic governor in November 2026. Incumbent Dan McKee faces a competitive primary against Helena Foulkes, with recent UNH and other polls showing Foulkes ahead but McKee narrowing the gap ahead of the September 8 primary. The party's decision not to endorse either candidate highlights internal divisions, yet these dynamics have minimal bearing on the general election, where structural advantages for Democrats have historically produced large margins. Low probabilities for Republican or independent outcomes reflect limited crossover appeal and fundraising gaps. Late developments such as primary upsets, major scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary scenarios that could alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$61,054Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island's strong Democratic voter base and consistent electoral history drive the overwhelming 93% trader consensus for a Democratic governor in November 2026. Incumbent Dan McKee faces a competitive primary against Helena Foulkes, with recent UNH and other polls showing Foulkes ahead but McKee narrowing the gap ahead of the September 8 primary. The party's decision not to endorse either candidate highlights internal divisions, yet these dynamics have minimal bearing on the general election, where structural advantages for Democrats have historically produced large margins. Low probabilities for Republican or independent outcomes reflect limited crossover appeal and fundraising gaps. Late developments such as primary upsets, major scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts remain the primary scenarios that could alter the current implied probability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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