Rondônia’s two Senate seats remain highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent polls showing a cluster of candidates within a narrow band. Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) has led several surveys, including a July Real Time Big Data poll at 19 percent, yet second-place positioning stays fluid among Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), Acir Gurgacz (PDT), and others. Official candidacies were registered in mid-August after party conventions, while varying results from Phoenix and other institutes highlight shifting voter preferences and undecided blocs. This multi-candidate field, combined with the state’s two-vote system and absence of an incumbent advantage in one seat, sustains tight implied probabilities for first place. Further separation could emerge from intensified campaign spending, late alliances, or additional polling closer to election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiRondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Sílvia Cristina 42%
Acir Gurgacz 34%
Luciana Oliveira 24%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 24%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Sílvia Cristina
24%
Acir Gurgacz
34%
Luciana Oliveira
24%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
24%
Luis Fernando
22%
Mariana Carvalho
20%
Engenheiro Thulio
11%
Aires Mota
9%
Neidinha
8%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
38%
Sílvia Cristina 42%
Acir Gurgacz 34%
Luciana Oliveira 24%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 24%
BARU
BARU
Oct 4, 2026
Sílvia Cristina
$20 Vol.
24%
Acir Gurgacz
$20 Vol.
34%
Luciana Oliveira
$47 Vol.
24%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$20 Vol.
24%
Luis Fernando
$20 Vol.
22%
Mariana Carvalho
$20 Vol.
20%
Engenheiro Thulio
$74 Vol.
11%
Aires Mota
$51 Vol.
9%
Neidinha
$70 Vol.
8%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$20 Vol.
38%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rondônia’s two Senate seats remain highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent polls showing a cluster of candidates within a narrow band. Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) has led several surveys, including a July Real Time Big Data poll at 19 percent, yet second-place positioning stays fluid among Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), Acir Gurgacz (PDT), and others. Official candidacies were registered in mid-August after party conventions, while varying results from Phoenix and other institutes highlight shifting voter preferences and undecided blocs. This multi-candidate field, combined with the state’s two-vote system and absence of an incumbent advantage in one seat, sustains tight implied probabilities for first place. Further separation could emerge from intensified campaign spending, late alliances, or additional polling closer to election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$363Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rondônia’s two Senate seats remain highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent polls showing a cluster of candidates within a narrow band. Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) has led several surveys, including a July Real Time Big Data poll at 19 percent, yet second-place positioning stays fluid among Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), Acir Gurgacz (PDT), and others. Official candidacies were registered in mid-August after party conventions, while varying results from Phoenix and other institutes highlight shifting voter preferences and undecided blocs. This multi-candidate field, combined with the state’s two-vote system and absence of an incumbent advantage in one seat, sustains tight implied probabilities for first place. Further separation could emerge from intensified campaign spending, late alliances, or additional polling closer to election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$363Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Rondônia’s two Senate seats remain highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent polls showing a cluster of candidates within a narrow band. Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) has led several surveys, including a July Real Time Big Data poll at 19 percent, yet second-place positioning stays fluid among Sílvia Cristina (PP), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), Acir Gurgacz (PDT), and others. Official candidacies were registered in mid-August after party conventions, while varying results from Phoenix and other institutes highlight shifting voter preferences and undecided blocs. This multi-candidate field, combined with the state’s two-vote system and absence of an incumbent advantage in one seat, sustains tight implied probabilities for first place. Further separation could emerge from intensified campaign spending, late alliances, or additional polling closer to election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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