The Sergipe Senate race for first place stays highly fragmented and uncertain ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent August polls showing no candidate above 26% and substantial undecided or blank responses. André Moura (União Brasil) and Delegado André David (Republicanos) have traded narrow leads in surveys from Real Time Big Data and Veritá, while Alessandro Vieira (MDB), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and others trail in single digits or low teens. Eleven candidates are competing for two seats, with recent party conventions and asset declarations highlighting broad fields but limited consolidation. This structure keeps implied probabilities clustered, as late alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in undecided voters could separate frontrunners before election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiEdvaldo 44%
Eduardo Amorim 27%
Rogerio Carvalho 24%
Delegado André David 23%

Edvaldo
44%

Eduardo Amorim
27%

Rogerio Carvalho
24%

Delegado André David
23%

Delegado Alessandro
23%

Rodrigo Valadares
23%

André Moura
23%

Paulinho da União Tur
22%

Coronel Rocha
22%

Renatinha
22%

Iran Barbosa
22%
Edvaldo 44%
Eduardo Amorim 27%
Rogerio Carvalho 24%
Delegado André David 23%

Edvaldo
44%

Eduardo Amorim
27%

Rogerio Carvalho
24%

Delegado André David
23%

Delegado Alessandro
23%

Rodrigo Valadares
23%

André Moura
23%

Paulinho da União Tur
22%

Coronel Rocha
22%

Renatinha
22%

Iran Barbosa
22%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe Senate race for first place stays highly fragmented and uncertain ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent August polls showing no candidate above 26% and substantial undecided or blank responses. André Moura (União Brasil) and Delegado André David (Republicanos) have traded narrow leads in surveys from Real Time Big Data and Veritá, while Alessandro Vieira (MDB), Rogério Carvalho (PT), Rodrigo Valadares (PL), and others trail in single digits or low teens. Eleven candidates are competing for two seats, with recent party conventions and asset declarations highlighting broad fields but limited consolidation. This structure keeps implied probabilities clustered, as late alliances, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in undecided voters could separate frontrunners before election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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