Texas Republicans redrew the state's congressional map in 2025, shifting the 32nd district's partisan voter index significantly to the right and removing the prior Democratic incumbent. Primary results from March 2026 produced a Republican nominee in a crowded field while Democrats selected their candidate, setting up a November 3 general election in a seat now rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. These structural changes and completed nominating contests underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices, with limited remaining variables likely to alter the balance before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTX-32 House Election Winner
TX-32 House Election Winner
$26,275 Vol.
$26,275 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
76%
Democratic Party
26%
$26,275 Vol.
$26,275 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$25,875 Vol.
76%
Democratic Party
$400 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas Republicans redrew the state's congressional map in 2025, shifting the 32nd district's partisan voter index significantly to the right and removing the prior Democratic incumbent. Primary results from March 2026 produced a Republican nominee in a crowded field while Democrats selected their candidate, setting up a November 3 general election in a seat now rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. These structural changes and completed nominating contests underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices, with limited remaining variables likely to alter the balance before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$26,275Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas Republicans redrew the state's congressional map in 2025, shifting the 32nd district's partisan voter index significantly to the right and removing the prior Democratic incumbent. Primary results from March 2026 produced a Republican nominee in a crowded field while Democrats selected their candidate, setting up a November 3 general election in a seat now rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. These structural changes and completed nominating contests underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices, with limited remaining variables likely to alter the balance before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,275Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas Republicans redrew the state's congressional map in 2025, shifting the 32nd district's partisan voter index significantly to the right and removing the prior Democratic incumbent. Primary results from March 2026 produced a Republican nominee in a crowded field while Democrats selected their candidate, setting up a November 3 general election in a seat now rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. These structural changes and completed nominating contests underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices, with limited remaining variables likely to alter the balance before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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