**Republican nominee John Carter holds a commanding lead in the TX-31 race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt and his established incumbency advantage.** The seat, anchored in Williamson and Bell counties with a Cook PVI of R+11, delivered Trump roughly 60% in 2024, and nonpartisan raters across the board classify it Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Carter, the twelve-term incumbent, secured his party’s nomination in the March 3 primary with nearly 60% of the vote after receiving an endorsement from President Trump, while Democrat Justin Early won a low-profile primary. With no recent polling shifts or major campaign developments reported in the past month, trader consensus aligns with the district’s structural and historical patterns. Late surprises such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unexpected turnout surge in Democratic-leaning pockets could theoretically narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the seat’s baseline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTX-31 House Election Winner
TX-31 House Election Winner
$45,379 Vol.
$45,379 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$45,379 Vol.
$45,379 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$24,918 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$20,461 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee John Carter holds a commanding lead in the TX-31 race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt and his established incumbency advantage.** The seat, anchored in Williamson and Bell counties with a Cook PVI of R+11, delivered Trump roughly 60% in 2024, and nonpartisan raters across the board classify it Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Carter, the twelve-term incumbent, secured his party’s nomination in the March 3 primary with nearly 60% of the vote after receiving an endorsement from President Trump, while Democrat Justin Early won a low-profile primary. With no recent polling shifts or major campaign developments reported in the past month, trader consensus aligns with the district’s structural and historical patterns. Late surprises such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unexpected turnout surge in Democratic-leaning pockets could theoretically narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the seat’s baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$45,379Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee John Carter holds a commanding lead in the TX-31 race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt and his established incumbency advantage.** The seat, anchored in Williamson and Bell counties with a Cook PVI of R+11, delivered Trump roughly 60% in 2024, and nonpartisan raters across the board classify it Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Carter, the twelve-term incumbent, secured his party’s nomination in the March 3 primary with nearly 60% of the vote after receiving an endorsement from President Trump, while Democrat Justin Early won a low-profile primary. With no recent polling shifts or major campaign developments reported in the past month, trader consensus aligns with the district’s structural and historical patterns. Late surprises such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unexpected turnout surge in Democratic-leaning pockets could theoretically narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the seat’s baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,379Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican nominee John Carter holds a commanding lead in the TX-31 race due to the district’s consistent Republican tilt and his established incumbency advantage.** The seat, anchored in Williamson and Bell counties with a Cook PVI of R+11, delivered Trump roughly 60% in 2024, and nonpartisan raters across the board classify it Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Carter, the twelve-term incumbent, secured his party’s nomination in the March 3 primary with nearly 60% of the vote after receiving an endorsement from President Trump, while Democrat Justin Early won a low-profile primary. With no recent polling shifts or major campaign developments reported in the past month, trader consensus aligns with the district’s structural and historical patterns. Late surprises such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unexpected turnout surge in Democratic-leaning pockets could theoretically narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the seat’s baseline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan