Texas's 30th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and features demographics that strongly favor Democratic candidates in general elections. Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination with over 72 percent in the March primary, while Everett Jackson emerged as the Republican nominee following a May runoff. All major forecasters rate the November 3 contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's history of large margins for the party. The open-seat status after redistricting and the prior representative's Senate bid have not altered this positioning. Trader pricing at 95.9 percent for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals; a significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major candidate withdrawal, ethics issue, or substantial change in voter turnout patterns.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTX-30 House Election Winner
TX-30 House Election Winner
$48,309 Vol.
$48,309 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$48,309 Vol.
$48,309 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,583 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$42,726 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 30th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and features demographics that strongly favor Democratic candidates in general elections. Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination with over 72 percent in the March primary, while Everett Jackson emerged as the Republican nominee following a May runoff. All major forecasters rate the November 3 contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's history of large margins for the party. The open-seat status after redistricting and the prior representative's Senate bid have not altered this positioning. Trader pricing at 95.9 percent for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals; a significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major candidate withdrawal, ethics issue, or substantial change in voter turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$48,309Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 30th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and features demographics that strongly favor Democratic candidates in general elections. Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination with over 72 percent in the March primary, while Everett Jackson emerged as the Republican nominee following a May runoff. All major forecasters rate the November 3 contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's history of large margins for the party. The open-seat status after redistricting and the prior representative's Senate bid have not altered this positioning. Trader pricing at 95.9 percent for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals; a significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major candidate withdrawal, ethics issue, or substantial change in voter turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,309Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 30th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and features demographics that strongly favor Democratic candidates in general elections. Frederick Haynes III secured the Democratic nomination with over 72 percent in the March primary, while Everett Jackson emerged as the Republican nominee following a May runoff. All major forecasters rate the November 3 contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's history of large margins for the party. The open-seat status after redistricting and the prior representative's Senate bid have not altered this positioning. Trader pricing at 95.9 percent for Democrats aligns with these fundamentals; a significant shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major candidate withdrawal, ethics issue, or substantial change in voter turnout patterns.
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