US forces conducted a targeted military operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, entering Caracas to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid escalating tensions over drug trafficking and oil sanctions, leading to most troops' subsequent withdrawal. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in shortly after, has overseen a military leadership reshuffle and pursued diplomatic detente, prompting the US to lift sanctions on her in early April and resume direct commercial flights as of April 17 due to stabilized conditions. Absent new provocations like narcotics surges or regime instability, trader consensus implies low odds of renewed US troop entry, with focus shifting to economic normalization and oil access negotiations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$1,281,992 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
30 Juni
10%
$1,281,992 Vol.
30 Juni
$197,229 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a targeted military operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, entering Caracas to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid escalating tensions over drug trafficking and oil sanctions, leading to most troops' subsequent withdrawal. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in shortly after, has overseen a military leadership reshuffle and pursued diplomatic detente, prompting the US to lift sanctions on her in early April and resume direct commercial flights as of April 17 due to stabilized conditions. Absent new provocations like narcotics surges or regime instability, trader consensus implies low odds of renewed US troop entry, with focus shifting to economic normalization and oil access negotiations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,281,992Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a targeted military operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, entering Caracas to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid escalating tensions over drug trafficking and oil sanctions, leading to most troops' subsequent withdrawal. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in shortly after, has overseen a military leadership reshuffle and pursued diplomatic detente, prompting the US to lift sanctions on her in early April and resume direct commercial flights as of April 17 due to stabilized conditions. Absent new provocations like narcotics surges or regime instability, trader consensus implies low odds of renewed US troop entry, with focus shifting to economic normalization and oil access negotiations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,281,992Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US forces conducted a targeted military operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, entering Caracas to capture President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid escalating tensions over drug trafficking and oil sanctions, leading to most troops' subsequent withdrawal. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in shortly after, has overseen a military leadership reshuffle and pursued diplomatic detente, prompting the US to lift sanctions on her in early April and resume direct commercial flights as of April 17 due to stabilized conditions. Absent new provocations like narcotics surges or regime instability, trader consensus implies low odds of renewed US troop entry, with focus shifting to economic normalization and oil access negotiations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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