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icon for Pasukan AS memasuki Venezuela lagi dengan...?

Pasukan AS memasuki Venezuela lagi dengan...?

icon for Pasukan AS memasuki Venezuela lagi dengan...?

Pasukan AS memasuki Venezuela lagi dengan...?

Jun 30

Jun 30

$1,334,017 Vol.

Jan 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,334,017 Vol.

Polymarket

30 Juni

$249,254 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a brief special operations raid on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas under Operation Absolute Resolve as part of a broader pressure campaign focused on drug trafficking designations and naval interdictions. The limited strike involved targeted airstrikes on air defenses and infrastructure but concluded rapidly with few US casualties and no sustained ground presence. Venezuela’s interim authorities under Delcy Rodríguez assumed power, and the United States re-established diplomatic relations in March 2026, reopening its embassy and shifting toward engagement on stability and energy issues. Trader assessments of any renewed entry hinge on whether political transition timelines, oil sector negotiations, or regional security developments prompt further US military involvement before the market resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,334,017
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a brief special operations raid on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas under Operation Absolute Resolve as part of a broader pressure campaign focused on drug trafficking designations and naval interdictions. The limited strike involved targeted airstrikes on air defenses and infrastructure but concluded rapidly with few US casualties and no sustained ground presence. Venezuela’s interim authorities under Delcy Rodríguez assumed power, and the United States re-established diplomatic relations in March 2026, reopening its embassy and shifting toward engagement on stability and energy issues. Trader assessments of any renewed entry hinge on whether political transition timelines, oil sector negotiations, or regional security developments prompt further US military involvement before the market resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,334,017
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Pasukan AS memasuki Venezuela lagi dengan...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "30 Juni" di 5%, diikuti oleh "10 Januari" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 5¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 5% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Pasukan AS memasuki Venezuela lagi dengan...?" telah menghasilkan $1.3 million dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 3, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Pasukan AS memasuki Venezuela lagi dengan...?," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Ini adalah pasar yang sangat terbuka. Pemimpin saat ini untuk "Pasukan AS memasuki Venezuela lagi dengan...?" adalah "30 Juni" di hanya 5%, dengan "10 Januari" mengejar ketat di 0%. Tanpa hasil yang menguasai mayoritas kuat, trader melihat ini sebagai sangat tidak pasti, yang bisa menghadirkan peluang trading unik. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time, jadi tandai halaman ini untuk menyaksikan bagaimana probabilitas berkembang.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Pasukan AS memasuki Venezuela lagi dengan...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.