The closely contested Polymarket odds for USD/JPY at end-2026 reflect uncertainty around the pace of Bank of Japan policy normalization versus Federal Reserve actions. With the pair trading near 159 in mid-August after coordinated US-Japan interventions in early August, trader consensus favors a 150-160 close as the BoJ’s 1.0% policy rate and potential further hikes to 1.25% begin narrowing the yield differential with US rates near 3.5-3.75%. Mixed analyst forecasts ranging from 150 to 180 underscore swing factors including inflation trajectories, labor data, and any additional FX interventions, while persistent US yield advantages support higher outcomes if Fed easing stalls.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui150-160 44%
140-150 29.0%
160-170 29%
<140 12%
<140
12%
140-150
30%
150-160
37%
160-170
34%
170-180
9%
180+
4%
150-160 44%
140-150 29.0%
160-170 29%
<140 12%
<140
12%
140-150
30%
150-160
37%
160-170
34%
170-180
9%
180+
4%
Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 10, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Data for the December 31, 2026 candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Resolution will occur once the specified close price is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to data from the latest 2026 date available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “C” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested Polymarket odds for USD/JPY at end-2026 reflect uncertainty around the pace of Bank of Japan policy normalization versus Federal Reserve actions. With the pair trading near 159 in mid-August after coordinated US-Japan interventions in early August, trader consensus favors a 150-160 close as the BoJ’s 1.0% policy rate and potential further hikes to 1.25% begin narrowing the yield differential with US rates near 3.5-3.75%. Mixed analyst forecasts ranging from 150 to 180 underscore swing factors including inflation trajectories, labor data, and any additional FX interventions, while persistent US yield advantages support higher outcomes if Fed easing stalls.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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