Strong post-launch demand for Apple's $599 MacBook Neo, its first entry-level laptop powered by a binned A18 Pro chip, has driven trader consensus to an 78% implied probability that Apple will continue sales, as evidenced by sell-outs through April 2026 announced just days ago. Launched March 11 after a March 4 unveiling, the 13-inch Liquid Retina model with all-day battery life and Apple Intelligence features exceeded expectations, exhausting initial 5-6 million unit inventory from iPhone chip surplus. Apple is now ramping production to 10 million units amid supply chain rush orders to TSMC, signaling commitment despite potential margin pressures from restarting A18 Pro fabrication. Upcoming supply replenishment and possible 2027 A19 Pro upgrades further bolster "No" positioning, though prolonged shortages could test resolve.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBARU
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Dec 31, 2026
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Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.Strong post-launch demand for Apple's $599 MacBook Neo, its first entry-level laptop powered by a binned A18 Pro chip, has driven trader consensus to an 78% implied probability that Apple will continue sales, as evidenced by sell-outs through April 2026 announced just days ago. Launched March 11 after a March 4 unveiling, the 13-inch Liquid Retina model with all-day battery life and Apple Intelligence features exceeded expectations, exhausting initial 5-6 million unit inventory from iPhone chip surplus. Apple is now ramping production to 10 million units amid supply chain rush orders to TSMC, signaling commitment despite potential margin pressures from restarting A18 Pro fabrication. Upcoming supply replenishment and possible 2027 A19 Pro upgrades further bolster "No" positioning, though prolonged shortages could test resolve.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 13, 2026, 5:27 PM ET
Volume
$305Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 13, 2026, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.Strong post-launch demand for Apple's $599 MacBook Neo, its first entry-level laptop powered by a binned A18 Pro chip, has driven trader consensus to an 78% implied probability that Apple will continue sales, as evidenced by sell-outs through April 2026 announced just days ago. Launched March 11 after a March 4 unveiling, the 13-inch Liquid Retina model with all-day battery life and Apple Intelligence features exceeded expectations, exhausting initial 5-6 million unit inventory from iPhone chip surplus. Apple is now ramping production to 10 million units amid supply chain rush orders to TSMC, signaling commitment despite potential margin pressures from restarting A18 Pro fabrication. Upcoming supply replenishment and possible 2027 A19 Pro upgrades further bolster "No" positioning, though prolonged shortages could test resolve.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$305Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 13, 2026, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong post-launch demand for Apple's $599 MacBook Neo, its first entry-level laptop powered by a binned A18 Pro chip, has driven trader consensus to an 78% implied probability that Apple will continue sales, as evidenced by sell-outs through April 2026 announced just days ago. Launched March 11 after a March 4 unveiling, the 13-inch Liquid Retina model with all-day battery life and Apple Intelligence features exceeded expectations, exhausting initial 5-6 million unit inventory from iPhone chip surplus. Apple is now ramping production to 10 million units amid supply chain rush orders to TSMC, signaling commitment despite potential margin pressures from restarting A18 Pro fabrication. Upcoming supply replenishment and possible 2027 A19 Pro upgrades further bolster "No" positioning, though prolonged shortages could test resolve.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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