Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12+ downtime days for Claude.ai in April 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's official status page logging repeated elevated error incidents across claude.ai—culminating in a cluster on April 23–25 involving Opus 4.7 model disruptions, slower responses, and sign-up issues, on top of earlier outages like April 13 and 15. Surging user demand amid competitive pressure from OpenAI has strained infrastructure, turning brief disruptions into non-green daily status boxes on the uptime history, already securing over a dozen affected days as boxes finalize sequentially. Realistic challenges are slim barring resolution disputes over incident classifications, with April 26–30 unlikely to retroactively alter confirmed tallies.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui12+ 100.0%
0-2 <1%
3-5 <1%
6-8 <1%
$85,583 Vol.
$85,583 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
0-2
No
3-5
No
6-8
No
9-11
No
12+
Yes
12+ 100.0%
0-2 <1%
3-5 <1%
6-8 <1%
$85,583 Vol.
$85,583 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
0-2
$16,970 Vol.
No
3-5
$15,327 Vol.
No
6-8
$17,025 Vol.
No
9-11
$15,185 Vol.
No
12+
$21,076 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12+ downtime days for Claude.ai in April 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's official status page logging repeated elevated error incidents across claude.ai—culminating in a cluster on April 23–25 involving Opus 4.7 model disruptions, slower responses, and sign-up issues, on top of earlier outages like April 13 and 15. Surging user demand amid competitive pressure from OpenAI has strained infrastructure, turning brief disruptions into non-green daily status boxes on the uptime history, already securing over a dozen affected days as boxes finalize sequentially. Realistic challenges are slim barring resolution disputes over incident classifications, with April 26–30 unlikely to retroactively alter confirmed tallies.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Volume
$85,583Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12+ downtime days for Claude.ai in April 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's official status page logging repeated elevated error incidents across claude.ai—culminating in a cluster on April 23–25 involving Opus 4.7 model disruptions, slower responses, and sign-up issues, on top of earlier outages like April 13 and 15. Surging user demand amid competitive pressure from OpenAI has strained infrastructure, turning brief disruptions into non-green daily status boxes on the uptime history, already securing over a dozen affected days as boxes finalize sequentially. Realistic challenges are slim barring resolution disputes over incident classifications, with April 26–30 unlikely to retroactively alter confirmed tallies.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of April during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in April 2026 is finalized. If the final day in April 2026 has not been finalized by May 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in April which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Volume
$85,583Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 12+ downtime days for Claude.ai in April 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by Anthropic's official status page logging repeated elevated error incidents across claude.ai—culminating in a cluster on April 23–25 involving Opus 4.7 model disruptions, slower responses, and sign-up issues, on top of earlier outages like April 13 and 15. Surging user demand amid competitive pressure from OpenAI has strained infrastructure, turning brief disruptions into non-green daily status boxes on the uptime history, already securing over a dozen affected days as boxes finalize sequentially. Realistic challenges are slim barring resolution disputes over incident classifications, with April 26–30 unlikely to retroactively alter confirmed tallies.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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