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Will Trump dance on...?

icon for Will Trump dance on...?

Will Trump dance on...?

BARU
May 31, 2026
Polymarket

$159 Vol.

Polymarket

May 1

$159 Vol.

27%

May 2

$0 Vol.

43%

May 3

$0 Vol.

39%

May 4

$0 Vol.

36%

May 5

$0 Vol.

37%

May 6

$0 Vol.

36%

May 7

$0 Vol.

37%

May 8

$0 Vol.

41%

May 9

$0 Vol.

41%

May 10

$0 Vol.

41%

May 11

$0 Vol.

41%

May 12

$0 Vol.

41%

May 13

$0 Vol.

41%

May 14

$0 Vol.

41%

May 15

$0 Vol.

41%

May 16

$0 Vol.

41%

May 17

$0 Vol.

42%

May 18

$0 Vol.

41%

May 19

$0 Vol.

41%

May 20

$0 Vol.

41%

May 21

$0 Vol.

41%

May 22

$0 Vol.

41%

May 23

$0 Vol.

41%

May 24

$0 Vol.

41%

May 25

$0 Vol.

41%

May 26

$0 Vol.

41%

May 27

$0 Vol.

41%

May 28

$0 Vol.

41%

May 29

$0 Vol.

41%

May 30

$0 Vol.

41%

May 31

$0 Vol.

41%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump's signature "YMCA dance"—a fist-pumping, hip-shaking move popularized at campaign rallies and UFC events—has evolved into a pop culture meme, spawning daily Polymarket props on whether he'll perform it publicly on specific dates like May 8 or 17. Trader consensus reflects his pattern of dancing at high-energy, celebratory appearances (e.g., resolved Yes markets at TPUSA and Easter events) but skipping formal ones, as at the April 25 White House Correspondents' Dinner, cut short by a security scare and shooter evacuation with no performance. No public schedule is confirmed for near-term dates, but a May 2-3 visit to Trump National Doral for the PGA Tour's Cadillac Championship could spark momentum if it includes rally-style festivities; resolution demands verifiable video of intentional dancing amid heightened security scrutiny post-incident.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
Volume
$159
Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.Trump's signature "YMCA dance"—a fist-pumping, hip-shaking move popularized at campaign rallies and UFC events—has evolved into a pop culture meme, spawning daily Polymarket props on whether he'll perform it publicly on specific dates like May 8 or 17. Trader consensus reflects his pattern of dancing at high-energy, celebratory appearances (e.g., resolved Yes markets at TPUSA and Easter events) but skipping formal ones, as at the April 25 White House Correspondents' Dinner, cut short by a security scare and shooter evacuation with no performance. No public schedule is confirmed for near-term dates, but a May 2-3 visit to Trump National Doral for the PGA Tour's Cadillac Championship could spark momentum if it includes rally-style festivities; resolution demands verifiable video of intentional dancing amid heightened security scrutiny post-incident.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
Volume
$159
Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Trump dance on...?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 31 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "May 2" di 43%, diikuti oleh "May 17" di 42%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 43¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 43% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Will Trump dance on...?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Apr 28, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Will Trump dance on...?," jelajahi 31 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Will Trump dance on...?" adalah "May 2" di 43%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 43% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "May 17" di 42%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Trump dance on...?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.