Germany enters as the clear trader consensus favorite at 70.5% implied probability to win Group E, bolstered by their elite FIFA ranking, four World Cup titles, and Julian Nagelsmann's high-pressing 4-2-3-1 system featuring stars like Jamal Musiala, Joshua Kimmich, and Niclas Füllkrug, who dominated recent friendlies including a March win over Netherlands. Ecuador trails at 19% after a robust CONMEBOL qualifying campaign (second place), driven by Moisés Caicedo, Enner Valencia, and Kendry Páez's creativity in compact counters, positioning them as competitive challengers. Ivory Coast's 10.8% reflects athleticism from Sébastien Haller and Yves Bissouma, plus strong CAF qualifiers, but squad depth lags. Curaçao's debutant status and 82nd FIFA ranking caps them at 1.7%, despite resilient transitions led by Rangelo Janga. No major injuries reported in ongoing April training camps, with all teams prepping May friendlies amid full fitness.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFIFA World Cup Group E Winner
FIFA World Cup Group E Winner
Germany 71%
Ecuador 19%
Ivory Coast 10.8%
Curaçao 1.7%
$23,738 Vol.
$23,738 Vol.
Germany
71%
Ecuador
19%
Ivory Coast
11%
Curaçao
2%
Germany 71%
Ecuador 19%
Ivory Coast 10.8%
Curaçao 1.7%
$23,738 Vol.
$23,738 Vol.
Germany
71%
Ecuador
19%
Ivory Coast
11%
Curaçao
2%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Germany enters as the clear trader consensus favorite at 70.5% implied probability to win Group E, bolstered by their elite FIFA ranking, four World Cup titles, and Julian Nagelsmann's high-pressing 4-2-3-1 system featuring stars like Jamal Musiala, Joshua Kimmich, and Niclas Füllkrug, who dominated recent friendlies including a March win over Netherlands. Ecuador trails at 19% after a robust CONMEBOL qualifying campaign (second place), driven by Moisés Caicedo, Enner Valencia, and Kendry Páez's creativity in compact counters, positioning them as competitive challengers. Ivory Coast's 10.8% reflects athleticism from Sébastien Haller and Yves Bissouma, plus strong CAF qualifiers, but squad depth lags. Curaçao's debutant status and 82nd FIFA ranking caps them at 1.7%, despite resilient transitions led by Rangelo Janga. No major injuries reported in ongoing April training camps, with all teams prepping May friendlies amid full fitness.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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