**Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 20°C, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome.** Leading up to the date, ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts tightly converged on 20°C with just a 1-2°C spread across members, reflecting stable spring conditions including northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology where Ankara averages 16-18°C highs. This alignment of model consensus and verified measurements leaves negligible uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or station discrepancies, but historical precedent shows such post-verification adjustments are minimal for daily maxima. Traders await final archival confirmation, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 29?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 29?
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$102,202 Vol.
$102,202 Vol.
29 apr 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$102,202 Vol.
$102,202 Vol.
29 apr 2026
14°C or below
$420 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,698 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,217 Vol.
No
17°C
$13,436 Vol.
No
18°C
$8,743 Vol.
No
19°C
$8,000 Vol.
No
20°C
$19,462 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$23,012 Vol.
No
22°C
$13,761 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,357 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$7,096 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 20°C, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome.** Leading up to the date, ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts tightly converged on 20°C with just a 1-2°C spread across members, reflecting stable spring conditions including northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology where Ankara averages 16-18°C highs. This alignment of model consensus and verified measurements leaves negligible uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or station discrepancies, but historical precedent shows such post-verification adjustments are minimal for daily maxima. Traders await final archival confirmation, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 27, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$102,202Data di fine
29 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 20°C, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome.** Leading up to the date, ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts tightly converged on 20°C with just a 1-2°C spread across members, reflecting stable spring conditions including northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology where Ankara averages 16-18°C highs. This alignment of model consensus and verified measurements leaves negligible uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or station discrepancies, but historical precedent shows such post-verification adjustments are minimal for daily maxima. Traders await final archival confirmation, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$102,202Data di fine
29 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Official observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm the highest temperature on April 29 reached exactly 20°C, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome.** Leading up to the date, ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts tightly converged on 20°C with just a 1-2°C spread across members, reflecting stable spring conditions including northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and typical April climatology where Ankara averages 16-18°C highs. This alignment of model consensus and verified measurements leaves negligible uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service or station discrepancies, but historical precedent shows such post-verification adjustments are minimal for daily maxima. Traders await final archival confirmation, though positioning reflects skin-in-the-game certainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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