**Trader sentiment for Ankara's June 20 high temperature centers on the 23–24°C range (combined ~58.5% implied probability), reflecting tight consensus from short-range weather models amid typical early-summer variability.** Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological outlooks point to a high near 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F), consistent with the month's climatological average high of ~27–28°C but tempered by recent cooler, partly cloudy conditions and possible isolated showers or increased cloud cover. Ankara’s continental climate features rapid diurnal swings and sensitivity to steering patterns; modest differences in model guidance on ridge strength versus transient moisture from the Mediterranean can easily shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest ensemble runs and observed trends over the past 48 hours, where temperatures have hovered in the low-to-mid 20s. The spread across 22–25°C outcomes captures residual forecast uncertainty typical at this lead time, while probabilities drop sharply outside that band due to established seasonal baselines and limited extreme deviation potential.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Ankara on June 20?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 20?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$49,266 Vol.
$49,266 Vol.
20 giu 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$49,266 Vol.
$49,266 Vol.
20 giu 2026
20°C or below
$2,295 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,388 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,321 Vol.
No
23°C
$7,760 Vol.
No
24°C
$11,960 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$8,626 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,863 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,972 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,466 Vol.
No
29°C
$275 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$341 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Ankara's June 20 high temperature centers on the 23–24°C range (combined ~58.5% implied probability), reflecting tight consensus from short-range weather models amid typical early-summer variability.**
Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological outlooks point to a high near 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F), consistent with the month's climatological average high of ~27–28°C but tempered by recent cooler, partly cloudy conditions and possible isolated showers or increased cloud cover. Ankara’s continental climate features rapid diurnal swings and sensitivity to steering patterns; modest differences in model guidance on ridge strength versus transient moisture from the Mediterranean can easily shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest ensemble runs and observed trends over the past 48 hours, where temperatures have hovered in the low-to-mid 20s. The spread across 22–25°C outcomes captures residual forecast uncertainty typical at this lead time, while probabilities drop sharply outside that band due to established seasonal baselines and limited extreme deviation potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$49,266Data di fine
20 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Ankara's June 20 high temperature centers on the 23–24°C range (combined ~58.5% implied probability), reflecting tight consensus from short-range weather models amid typical early-summer variability.**
Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological outlooks point to a high near 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F), consistent with the month's climatological average high of ~27–28°C but tempered by recent cooler, partly cloudy conditions and possible isolated showers or increased cloud cover. Ankara’s continental climate features rapid diurnal swings and sensitivity to steering patterns; modest differences in model guidance on ridge strength versus transient moisture from the Mediterranean can easily shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest ensemble runs and observed trends over the past 48 hours, where temperatures have hovered in the low-to-mid 20s. The spread across 22–25°C outcomes captures residual forecast uncertainty typical at this lead time, while probabilities drop sharply outside that band due to established seasonal baselines and limited extreme deviation potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49,266Data di fine
20 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader sentiment for Ankara's June 20 high temperature centers on the 23–24°C range (combined ~58.5% implied probability), reflecting tight consensus from short-range weather models amid typical early-summer variability.** Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological outlooks point to a high near 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F), consistent with the month's climatological average high of ~27–28°C but tempered by recent cooler, partly cloudy conditions and possible isolated showers or increased cloud cover. Ankara’s continental climate features rapid diurnal swings and sensitivity to steering patterns; modest differences in model guidance on ridge strength versus transient moisture from the Mediterranean can easily shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest ensemble runs and observed trends over the past 48 hours, where temperatures have hovered in the low-to-mid 20s. The spread across 22–25°C outcomes captures residual forecast uncertainty typical at this lead time, while probabilities drop sharply outside that band due to established seasonal baselines and limited extreme deviation potential.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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