Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Ankara on May 10, driven by observational data from the Esenboğa International Airport station—Ankara's official measurement site under the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—confirming this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limited daytime heating. This aligns precisely with short-range forecasts from MGM and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which projected subdued solar insolation due to mid-level cloudiness and stable upper-air conditions typical for early May transitions. Historical May averages near 22°C further support the positioning. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument quality controls or metadata discrepancies across sources like Wunderground, with final MGM validation pending in the next 24 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 10?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 10?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$78,923 Vol.
$78,923 Vol.
10 mag 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$78,923 Vol.
$78,923 Vol.
10 mag 2026
17°C or below
$4,402 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,131 Vol.
No
19°C
$4,591 Vol.
No
20°C
$9,030 Vol.
No
21°C
$7,024 Vol.
No
22°C
$10,254 Vol.
No
23°C
$10,804 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$13,445 Vol.
No
25°C
$7,621 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,216 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$4,405 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Ankara on May 10, driven by observational data from the Esenboğa International Airport station—Ankara's official measurement site under the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—confirming this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limited daytime heating. This aligns precisely with short-range forecasts from MGM and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which projected subdued solar insolation due to mid-level cloudiness and stable upper-air conditions typical for early May transitions. Historical May averages near 22°C further support the positioning. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument quality controls or metadata discrepancies across sources like Wunderground, with final MGM validation pending in the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$78,923Data di fine
10 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Ankara on May 10, driven by observational data from the Esenboğa International Airport station—Ankara's official measurement site under the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—confirming this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limited daytime heating. This aligns precisely with short-range forecasts from MGM and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which projected subdued solar insolation due to mid-level cloudiness and stable upper-air conditions typical for early May transitions. Historical May averages near 22°C further support the positioning. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument quality controls or metadata discrepancies across sources like Wunderground, with final MGM validation pending in the next 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$78,923Data di fine
10 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Ankara on May 10, driven by observational data from the Esenboğa International Airport station—Ankara's official measurement site under the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM)—confirming this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds that limited daytime heating. This aligns precisely with short-range forecasts from MGM and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which projected subdued solar insolation due to mid-level cloudiness and stable upper-air conditions typical for early May transitions. Historical May averages near 22°C further support the positioning. Realistic challenges include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument quality controls or metadata discrepancies across sources like Wunderground, with final MGM validation pending in the next 24 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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