Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Busan on April 18, 2026, driven by confirmed Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official station—which recorded an afternoon peak of 23°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity around 35-75%. This aligns with KMA short-range forecast models projecting 22-23°C maxima, following a week of above-normal highs (21°C+) under a persistent high-pressure ridge elevating coastal temperatures beyond the mid-April climatological average of 18°C. Realistic challenges, such as a post-close data revision from instrument recalibration, are negligible given finalized hourly logs; traders await only routine KMA validation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Busan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$51,116 Vol.
$51,116 Vol.
18 apr 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$51,116 Vol.
$51,116 Vol.
18 apr 2026
15°C or below
$1,614 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,193 Vol.
No
17°C
$982 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,898 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,613 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,953 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,291 Vol.
No
22°C
$8,904 Vol.
No
23°C
$11,920 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$10,692 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$5,058 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Busan on April 18, 2026, driven by confirmed Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official station—which recorded an afternoon peak of 23°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity around 35-75%. This aligns with KMA short-range forecast models projecting 22-23°C maxima, following a week of above-normal highs (21°C+) under a persistent high-pressure ridge elevating coastal temperatures beyond the mid-April climatological average of 18°C. Realistic challenges, such as a post-close data revision from instrument recalibration, are negligible given finalized hourly logs; traders await only routine KMA validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$51,116Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Busan on April 18, 2026, driven by confirmed Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official station—which recorded an afternoon peak of 23°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity around 35-75%. This aligns with KMA short-range forecast models projecting 22-23°C maxima, following a week of above-normal highs (21°C+) under a persistent high-pressure ridge elevating coastal temperatures beyond the mid-April climatological average of 18°C. Realistic challenges, such as a post-close data revision from instrument recalibration, are negligible given finalized hourly logs; traders await only routine KMA validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$51,116Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C in Busan on April 18, 2026, driven by confirmed Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official station—which recorded an afternoon peak of 23°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity around 35-75%. This aligns with KMA short-range forecast models projecting 22-23°C maxima, following a week of above-normal highs (21°C+) under a persistent high-pressure ridge elevating coastal temperatures beyond the mid-April climatological average of 18°C. Realistic challenges, such as a post-close data revision from instrument recalibration, are negligible given finalized hourly logs; traders await only routine KMA validation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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