Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty for Busan's highest temperature on April 18, with market-implied odds evenly split across outcomes from 15°C or below to 25°C or higher, mirroring divergent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), GFS, and ECMWF models. Mid-April climatology in coastal Busan favors highs near 18°C based on historical data, but recent mild conditions—clear skies and highs of 21-25°C under a high-pressure ridge—contrast with potential cold fronts introducing variability through cloud cover, southerly wind shifts, and sea-breeze moderation. Ensemble spreads exceed 5°C, hinging on upper-level trough progression and diurnal solar heating; KMA briefings on April 17 will clarify steering patterns ahead of resolution at Gimhae International Airport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Busan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?
15°C or below 50%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
18°C 50%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 apr 2026
15°C or below
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C or higher
50%
15°C or below 50%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
18°C 50%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 apr 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
50%
16°C
$0 Vol.
50%
17°C
$0 Vol.
50%
18°C
$0 Vol.
50%
19°C
$0 Vol.
50%
20°C
$0 Vol.
50%
21°C
$0 Vol.
50%
22°C
$0 Vol.
50%
23°C
$0 Vol.
50%
24°C
$0 Vol.
50%
25°C or higher
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty for Busan's highest temperature on April 18, with market-implied odds evenly split across outcomes from 15°C or below to 25°C or higher, mirroring divergent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), GFS, and ECMWF models. Mid-April climatology in coastal Busan favors highs near 18°C based on historical data, but recent mild conditions—clear skies and highs of 21-25°C under a high-pressure ridge—contrast with potential cold fronts introducing variability through cloud cover, southerly wind shifts, and sea-breeze moderation. Ensemble spreads exceed 5°C, hinging on upper-level trough progression and diurnal solar heating; KMA briefings on April 17 will clarify steering patterns ahead of resolution at Gimhae International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty for Busan's highest temperature on April 18, with market-implied odds evenly split across outcomes from 15°C or below to 25°C or higher, mirroring divergent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), GFS, and ECMWF models. Mid-April climatology in coastal Busan favors highs near 18°C based on historical data, but recent mild conditions—clear skies and highs of 21-25°C under a high-pressure ridge—contrast with potential cold fronts introducing variability through cloud cover, southerly wind shifts, and sea-breeze moderation. Ensemble spreads exceed 5°C, hinging on upper-level trough progression and diurnal solar heating; KMA briefings on April 17 will clarify steering patterns ahead of resolution at Gimhae International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$0Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty for Busan's highest temperature on April 18, with market-implied odds evenly split across outcomes from 15°C or below to 25°C or higher, mirroring divergent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), GFS, and ECMWF models. Mid-April climatology in coastal Busan favors highs near 18°C based on historical data, but recent mild conditions—clear skies and highs of 21-25°C under a high-pressure ridge—contrast with potential cold fronts introducing variability through cloud cover, southerly wind shifts, and sea-breeze moderation. Ensemble spreads exceed 5°C, hinging on upper-level trough progression and diurnal solar heating; KMA briefings on April 17 will clarify steering patterns ahead of resolution at Gimhae International Airport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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