Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 22°C as Busan's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, backed by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing an early-day peak of 22°C amid hazy sunshine, followed by cooling to 17–18°C under mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds. This positioning reflects a sharp weather shift from mid-April's unseasonal heatwave (up to 27°C) to a cold wave advisory, with yellow dust influx suppressing further warming by reducing solar insolation and increasing cloud cover. Model consensus from KMA short-term forecasts aligns on no additional intensification, as incoming northerly flows cap highs. Realistic challenges would require improbable clear skies and downslope winds for a late-afternoon spike above 23°C, unlikely given current trajectories and evening descent. KMA updates expected overnight will finalize observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Busan on April 20?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 20?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,074 Vol.
$73,074 Vol.
20 apr 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,074 Vol.
$73,074 Vol.
20 apr 2026
15°C or below
$3,320 Vol.
No
16°C
$5,568 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,194 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,628 Vol.
No
19°C
$4,459 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,939 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,278 Vol.
No
22°C
$17,992 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$5,691 Vol.
No
24°C
$9,911 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$12,094 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 22°C as Busan's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, backed by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing an early-day peak of 22°C amid hazy sunshine, followed by cooling to 17–18°C under mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds. This positioning reflects a sharp weather shift from mid-April's unseasonal heatwave (up to 27°C) to a cold wave advisory, with yellow dust influx suppressing further warming by reducing solar insolation and increasing cloud cover. Model consensus from KMA short-term forecasts aligns on no additional intensification, as incoming northerly flows cap highs. Realistic challenges would require improbable clear skies and downslope winds for a late-afternoon spike above 23°C, unlikely given current trajectories and evening descent. KMA updates expected overnight will finalize observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 18, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$73,074Data di fine
20 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 18, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 22°C as Busan's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, backed by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing an early-day peak of 22°C amid hazy sunshine, followed by cooling to 17–18°C under mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds. This positioning reflects a sharp weather shift from mid-April's unseasonal heatwave (up to 27°C) to a cold wave advisory, with yellow dust influx suppressing further warming by reducing solar insolation and increasing cloud cover. Model consensus from KMA short-term forecasts aligns on no additional intensification, as incoming northerly flows cap highs. Realistic challenges would require improbable clear skies and downslope winds for a late-afternoon spike above 23°C, unlikely given current trajectories and evening descent. KMA updates expected overnight will finalize observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$73,074Data di fine
20 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 18, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 22°C as Busan's highest temperature on April 20, 2026, backed by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations showing an early-day peak of 22°C amid hazy sunshine, followed by cooling to 17–18°C under mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds. This positioning reflects a sharp weather shift from mid-April's unseasonal heatwave (up to 27°C) to a cold wave advisory, with yellow dust influx suppressing further warming by reducing solar insolation and increasing cloud cover. Model consensus from KMA short-term forecasts aligns on no additional intensification, as incoming northerly flows cap highs. Realistic challenges would require improbable clear skies and downslope winds for a late-afternoon spike above 23°C, unlikely given current trajectories and evening descent. KMA updates expected overnight will finalize observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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